Shinhan Seobu T&D REIT

404990 · KOSPI · ₩404990 · 신한서부티엔디리츠

₩3,900▼ ₩25 (0.64%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩3,447

vs the current price (₩3,900)

Enterprise value
₩926B
Equity value
₩212B
WACC
4.9%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩3,447
−11.6%
Bull
₩14,682
+276.5%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (66.8%).

Revenue growth

  • 25%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (29% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 19.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (29% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 14%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (29% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (29% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (29% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 66.8%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 22.4%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.

  • -10%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.03%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.09, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.53%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩32B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩617B
+ Stakes and investments
₩1.4B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩98B
Shares
61,627,860
Share price
₩3,900
Market cap
₩240B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩16B₩18B₩32B₩40B₩48B₩55B₩59B₩61B
Growth10.3%9.6%77.7%25.0%19.5%14.0%8.5%3.0%
EBIT₩11B₩12B₩24B₩27B₩32B₩37B₩40B₩41B
EBIT margin64.6%66.0%74.0%66.8%66.8%66.8%66.8%66.8%
After-tax EBIT₩7.7B₩8.6B₩17B₩19B₩23B₩26B₩29B₩30B
+ Depreciation₩4.2B₩4.3B₩5.6B₩9B₩11B₩12B₩13B₩14B
− Capital spending———₩1.6B₩1.9B₩2.2B₩2.4B₩2.4B
− Working capital−₩23B−₩23B₩50B−₩803M−₩782M−₩671M−₩465M−₩178M
Free cash flow———₩28B₩33B₩37B₩40B₩41B
Discount factor———0.9530.9080.8650.8250.786
Present value———₩26B₩30B₩32B₩33B₩32B

Terminal value ₩983B, worth ₩772B today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩4,059 a share)Now 0.96×₩3,2340.80×₩3,6700.90×₩4,4411.09×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2022, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
3.9%₩3,980₩6,736₩10,914₩17,992₩32,597
4.4%₩1,790₩3,710₩6,417₩10,520₩17,470
4.9%₩154₩1,561₩3,447₩6,105₩10,134
5.4%——₩1,337₩3,189₩5,801
5.9%———₩1,118₩2,938

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩240B
Enterprise value
₩858B
P/E
94.9×
P/B
1.0×
P/S
7.5×
EV/EBITDA
29.5×
Dividend yield
3.3%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩3,595₩3,435₩3,670₩3,645₩5,000
Market cap₩222B₩212B₩226B₩225B₩308B
P/E113.5×20.6×———
P/B0.9×0.8×0.9×0.8×1.1×
P/S6.9×11.7×13.7×15.0×29.1×
EV/EBITDA28.7×44.3×33.9×34.1×59.9×
Dividend yield3.6%3.8%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Shinhan Seobu T&D REIT94.9×1.0×7.5×29.5×3.3%
SK Reit49.6×0.8×22.8×—1.3%
Lotte Reit59.2×1.1×16.3×—2.8%
Hanwha Reit68.1×1.4×16.7×45.4×2.5%
ESR Kendall Square Reit1,184.3×0.7×11.7×73.5×4.5%
Shinhan Alpha REIT97.6×1.2×8.0×34.3×3.0%
SamsungFN Reit153.7×1.2×38.5×—1.4%
Similar companies (median)82.9×1.1×16.5×45.4×2.7%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Shinhan Seobu T&D REIT / 신한서부티엔디리츠 / 404990 / KRX:404990

Source: KRX statistical information