Ji-Tech제이아이테크
417500 · KOSDAQ · ₩417500 · 제이아이테크
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩1,611
vs the current price (₩4,020)
- Enterprise value
- ₩75B
- Equity value
- ₩55B
- WACC
- 7.6%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 60% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩4,020, the model needs an operating margin of 28.6% every year (it uses 17.1%).
- Or revenue growth +21.0 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 9.4% to 19.4% over the last 4 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 12.5× against a typical 13.6× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩784
- −80.5%
- Base
- ₩1,611
- −59.9%
- Bull
- ₩3,022
- −24.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (17.1%).
Revenue growth
- -7.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -5.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -2.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 17.1%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 4 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 32.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 40.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 38%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.76
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.64, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩67B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩24B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩3.6B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 33,845,627
- Share price
- ₩4,020
- Market cap
- ₩136B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩43B | ₩57B | ₩54B | ₩61B | ₩58B | ₩57B | ₩57B | ₩59B |
| Growth | −36.5% | 32.1% | −6.5% | −7.8% | −5.1% | −2.4% | 0.3% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩4.1B | ₩8.7B | ₩10B | ₩11B | ₩10B | ₩9.7B | ₩9.8B | ₩10B |
| EBIT margin | 9.4% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 17.1% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3B | ₩6.3B | ₩7.5B | ₩7.6B | ₩7.2B | ₩7.1B | ₩7.1B | ₩7.3B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩20B | ₩19B | ₩19B | ₩19B | ₩19B |
| − Capital spending | ₩27B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩25B | ₩24B | ₩23B | ₩23B | ₩24B |
| − Working capital | −₩19B | −₩2.2B | ₩8.6B | −₩2B | −₩1.2B | −₩532M | ₩65M | ₩651M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩4.6B | ₩3.7B | ₩3B | ₩2.4B | ₩1.9B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.929 | 0.863 | 0.802 | 0.745 | 0.692 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩4.3B | ₩3.2B | ₩2.4B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.3B |
Terminal value ₩89B, worth ₩62B today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩2,470 a share)Now 1.63× | ₩3,5771.45× | ₩4,2261.71× | ₩6,2062.51× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩322 a share)Now 12.5× | ₩3,2159.98× | ₩4,38613.6× | ₩7,41423.0× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩465 a share)Now 8.64× | ₩4,6429.98× | ₩6,33113.6× | ₩10,70323.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2023, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.6% | ₩1,774 | ₩1,930 | ₩2,120 | ₩2,355 | ₩2,654 |
| 7.1% | ₩1,566 | ₩1,691 | ₩1,840 | ₩2,021 | ₩2,245 |
| 7.6% | ₩1,390 | ₩1,491 | ₩1,611 | ₩1,753 | ₩1,925 |
| 8.1% | ₩1,239 | ₩1,322 | ₩1,419 | ₩1,533 | ₩1,668 |
| 8.6% | ₩1,108 | ₩1,177 | ₩1,257 | ₩1,349 | ₩1,457 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩136B
- Enterprise value
- ₩159B
- P/E
- 12.5×
- P/B
- 1.6×
- P/S
- 2.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.5%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,150 | ₩3,105 | ₩4,055 | ₩2,514 |
| Market cap | ₩107B | ₩105B | ₩137B | ₩85B |
| P/E | 15.8× | 9.8× | 36.6× | 7.8× |
| P/B | 1.4× | 1.5× | 2.1× | 1.4× |
| P/S | 2.0× | 1.8× | 3.2× | 1.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 3.2% | 3.2% | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ji-Tech | 12.5× | 1.6× | 2.0× | — | 2.5% |
| LG Chem | — | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 0.9% |
| Hanwha Solutions | — | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanwha | 6.1× | 0.4× | 0.1× | — | 1.4% |
| SKC | — | 1.8× | 1.7× | — | 0.0% |
| KCC | 0.9× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 9.0× | 0.0% |
| Kumho Petro Chemical | 5.2× | 0.4× | 0.4× | — | 1.6% |
| Similar companies (median) | 5.2× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 9.0× | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Ji-Tech / 제이아이테크 / 417500 / KRX:417500
Source: KRX statistical information