Truen트루엔
417790 · KOSDAQ · ₩417790 · 트루엔
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩22,477
vs the current price (₩6,930)
- Enterprise value
- ₩165B
- Equity value
- ₩235B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 224% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩6,930, the model needs an operating margin of 2.9% every year (it uses 26.6%).
- Today's P/E is 5.8× against a typical 6.7× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩17,440
- +151.7%
- Base
- ₩22,477
- +224.3%
- Bull
- ₩30,652
- +342.3%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (26.6%).
Revenue growth
- 2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 26.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 3 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 11.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 14.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 16.4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.15, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩49B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩70B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩222M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 10,468,391
- Share price
- ₩6,930
- Market cap
- ₩73B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩47B | ₩54B | ₩49B | ₩50B | ₩51B | ₩52B | ₩54B | ₩56B |
| Growth | — | 13.6% | −8.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩11B | ₩15B | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩15B |
| EBIT margin | 24.1% | 28.8% | 27.0% | 26.6% | 26.6% | 26.6% | 26.6% | 26.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩8.3B | ₩11B | ₩9.6B | ₩9.7B | ₩9.9B | ₩10B | ₩10B | ₩11B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩5.7B | ₩5.8B | ₩6B | ₩6.2B | ₩6.3B |
| − Capital spending | ₩19B | ₩814M | ₩315M | ₩7.2B | ₩7.3B | ₩7.5B | ₩7.7B | ₩7.9B |
| − Working capital | — | −₩4.1B | ₩3.3B | ₩161M | ₩189M | ₩210M | ₩241M | ₩265M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩8B | ₩8.2B | ₩8.4B | ₩8.6B | ₩8.8B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩7.5B | ₩7.1B | ₩6.8B | ₩6.5B | ₩6.2B |
Terminal value ₩187B, worth ₩131B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩10,668 a share)Now 0.65× | ₩6,8010.64× | ₩10,6531.00× | ₩14,5721.37× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,195 a share)Now 5.80× | ₩6,9405.81× | ₩8,0246.71× | ₩11,5799.69× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩908 a share)Now 7.63× | ₩5,2735.81× | ₩6,0966.71× | ₩8,7979.69× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2023, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩23,155 | ₩24,492 | ₩26,131 | ₩28,189 | ₩30,849 |
| 6.9% | ₩21,726 | ₩22,812 | ₩24,117 | ₩25,718 | ₩27,728 |
| 7.4% | ₩20,522 | ₩21,417 | ₩22,477 | ₩23,752 | ₩25,316 |
| 7.9% | ₩19,492 | ₩20,241 | ₩21,115 | ₩22,150 | ₩23,396 |
| 8.4% | ₩18,603 | ₩19,235 | ₩19,966 | ₩20,820 | ₩21,832 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩73B
- Enterprise value
- ₩2.1B
- P/E
- 5.8×
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 1.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.9%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩8,220 | ₩10,000 | ₩11,820 |
| Market cap | ₩86B | ₩105B | ₩124B |
| P/E | 7.1× | 7.3× | 11.3× |
| P/B | 0.8× | 1.1× | 1.4× |
| P/S | 1.8× | 2.0× | 2.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.4% | 2.3% | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Truen | 5.8× | 0.6× | 1.5× | — | 2.9% |
| Samsung Electronics | 9.5× | 2.5× | 2.9× | — | 0.7% |
| LG Electronics | 25.3× | 1.0× | 0.3× | — | 0.8% |
| Hanwha Vision | 17.0× | 2.1× | 1.1× | — | 0.0% |
| RFHIC | 41.3× | 3.7× | 6.7× | — | 0.8% |
| KMW | — | 5.0× | 8.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Intellian Technologies | 13.4× | 2.0× | 1.6× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 17.0× | 2.3× | 2.3× | — | 0.5% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Truen / 트루엔 / 417790 / KRX:417790
Source: KRX statistical information