Samkee Energy Solutions삼기에너지솔루션즈
419050 · KOSDAQ · ₩419050 · 삼기에너지솔루션즈
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩201B
- Equity value
- −₩305B
- WACC
- 6.1%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,330, the model needs an operating margin of 12.7% every year (it uses 2.4%).
- Margins ranged from −6.3% to 8.0% over the last 4 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.4%).
Revenue growth
- 10.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 2.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 4 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 39%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 48.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 8.5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.16, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩192B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩76B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩726M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩30B
- Shares
- 57,196,240
- Share price
- ₩2,330
- Market cap
- ₩133B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩91B | ₩99B | ₩144B | ₩212B | ₩231B | ₩246B | ₩258B | ₩266B |
| Growth | −15.1% | 8.6% | 46.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩745M | −₩6.3B | ₩5.4B | ₩5.1B | ₩5.5B | ₩5.9B | ₩6.2B | ₩6.4B |
| EBIT margin | 0.8% | −6.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩540M | −₩4.5B | ₩3.9B | ₩3.7B | ₩4B | ₩4.3B | ₩4.5B | ₩4.6B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩83B | ₩90B | ₩96B | ₩101B | ₩104B |
| − Capital spending | ₩83B | ₩40B | ₩21B | ₩104B | ₩112B | ₩120B | ₩126B | ₩130B |
| − Working capital | −₩36B | ₩6.2B | ₩92M | ₩1.7B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.3B | ₩1B | ₩658M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩19B | −₩20B | −₩21B | −₩22B | −₩22B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.942 | 0.888 | 0.837 | 0.788 | 0.743 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩18B | −₩18B | −₩18B | −₩17B | −₩16B |
Terminal value −₩153B, worth −₩114B today: 57% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩1,784 a share)Now 1.31× | ₩1,6280.91× | ₩2,1041.18× | ₩6,9333.89× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩303 a share)Now 7.68× | ₩6,03919.9× | ₩10,85635.8× | ₩17,59558.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2023, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩133B
- Enterprise value
- ₩208B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 1.3×
- P/S
- 0.7×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,680 | ₩1,699 | ₩2,890 |
| Market cap | ₩96B | ₩97B | ₩165B |
| P/E | — | — | 34.8× |
| P/B | 1.0× | 0.9× | 1.6× |
| P/S | 0.7× | 1.0× | 1.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — |
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Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samkee Energy Solutions | — | 1.3× | 0.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Mobis | 8.1× | 0.6× | 0.5× | — | 2.0% |
| SL | 5.9× | 0.8× | 0.4× | 3.6× | 0.0% |
| HL Mando | 10.2× | 0.6× | 0.2× | — | 2.0% |
| Samhyun | — | 12.8× | 18.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai WIA | 18.9× | 0.4× | 0.2× | — | 2.4% |
| SNT Dynamics | 13.4× | 0.7× | 0.9× | — | 6.8% |
| Similar companies (median) | 10.2× | 0.6× | 0.4× | 3.6× | 2.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Samkee Energy Solutions / 삼기에너지솔루션즈 / 419050 / KRX:419050
Source: KRX statistical information