GigaVis기가비스
420770 · KOSDAQ · ₩420770 · 기가비스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩15,597
vs the current price (₩104,400)
- Enterprise value
- ₩81B
- Equity value
- ₩198B
- WACC
- 8.2%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 85% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- No operating margin up to 90% gets the model to today's price at these growth assumptions.
- Margins ranged from −6.8% to 38.3% over the last 3 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 38% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩13,442
- −87.1%
- Base
- ₩15,597
- −85.1%
- Bull
- ₩19,140
- −81.7%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (20.2%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-24.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-24.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-24.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-24.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-24.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 20.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 3 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 36.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 45.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.74
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.62, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩67B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩115B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩2.2B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 12,675,758
- Share price
- ₩104,400
- Market cap
- ₩1.3T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩91B | ₩26B | ₩52B | ₩61B | ₩56B | ₩54B | ₩54B | ₩56B |
| Growth | — | −71.4% | 100.6% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩35B | −₩1.8B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩11B |
| EBIT margin | 38.3% | −6.8% | 23.1% | 20.2% | 20.2% | 20.2% | 20.2% | 20.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩25B | −₩1.3B | ₩8.8B | ₩8.9B | ₩8.3B | ₩8B | ₩8B | ₩8.2B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩22B | ₩20B | ₩20B | ₩20B | ₩20B |
| − Capital spending | ₩4.4B | ₩32B | ₩4.6B | ₩27B | ₩26B | ₩25B | ₩25B | ₩25B |
| − Working capital | — | −₩11B | −₩11B | −₩2.7B | −₩1.6B | −₩790M | −₩44M | ₩652M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩6.1B | ₩4.8B | ₩3.9B | ₩3.1B | ₩2.5B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.925 | 0.855 | 0.791 | 0.731 | 0.676 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩5.6B | ₩4.1B | ₩3.1B | ₩2.3B | ₩1.7B |
Terminal value ₩95B, worth ₩64B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩16,371 a share)Now 6.38× | ₩26,0791.59× | ₩56,2863.44× | ₩106,5856.51× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2023, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.2% | ₩16,021 | ₩16,421 | ₩16,898 | ₩17,475 | ₩18,190 |
| 7.7% | ₩15,480 | ₩15,806 | ₩16,189 | ₩16,645 | ₩17,198 |
| 8.2% | ₩15,015 | ₩15,285 | ₩15,597 | ₩15,964 | ₩16,400 |
| 8.7% | ₩14,612 | ₩14,837 | ₩15,095 | ₩15,394 | ₩15,745 |
| 9.2% | ₩14,260 | ₩14,449 | ₩14,664 | ₩14,911 | ₩15,197 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩1.3T
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.2T
- P/E
- 64.0×
- P/B
- 6.4×
- P/S
- 19.7×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.8%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩31,500 | ₩24,550 | ₩73,800 |
| Market cap | ₩399B | ₩311B | ₩935B |
| P/E | 25.8× | 91.2× | 28.6× |
| P/B | 1.9× | 1.5× | 4.4× |
| P/S | 7.6× | 11.9× | 10.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.5% | 3.3% | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GigaVis | 64.0× | 6.4× | 19.7× | — | 0.8% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 200.6× | 4.5× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 84.5× | 25.1× | 34.0× | 76.1× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,135.2× | 13.9× | 36.4× | 2,185.7× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,308.5× | 55.2× | 162.6× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 47.1× | 6.8× | 11.5× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Bobcat | 13,805.1× | 923.8× | 743.7× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 667.9× | 19.5× | 35.2× | 1,130.9× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: GigaVis / 기가비스 / 420770 / KRX:420770
Source: KRX statistical information