Temc

425040 · KOSDAQ · ₩425040 · 티이엠씨

₩13,580▲ ₩440 (3.35%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩5,262

vs the current price (₩13,580)

Enterprise value
₩204B
Equity value
₩115B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 61% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩13,580, the model needs an operating margin of 14.4% every year (it uses 8.6%).
  • Or revenue growth +20.1 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Margins ranged from 6.4% to 15.1% over the last 4 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 32% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • Today's P/E is 16.3× against a typical 14.0× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩1,101
−91.9%
Base
₩5,262
−61.3%
Bull
₩12,710
−6.4%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (8.6%).

Revenue growth

  • -7.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -4.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -2.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 8.6%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 4 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 9.4%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 11.8%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 30.2%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.67

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.51, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩276B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩48B
+ Stakes and investments
₩52B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩93B
Shares
21,922,898
Share price
₩13,580
Market cap
₩298B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩201B₩310B₩280B₩256B₩244B₩238B₩239B₩246B
Growth−42.9%54.5%−9.8%−7.4%−4.8%−2.2%0.4%3.0%
EBIT₩21B₩20B₩25B₩22B₩21B₩20B₩21B₩21B
EBIT margin10.5%6.4%8.9%8.6%8.6%8.6%8.6%8.6%
After-tax EBIT₩15B₩14B₩18B₩16B₩15B₩15B₩15B₩15B
+ Depreciation———₩24B₩23B₩22B₩22B₩23B
− Capital spending₩32B₩34B₩23B₩30B₩29B₩28B₩28B₩29B
− Working capital₩9.2B−₩2.7B₩18B−₩6.2B−₩3.7B−₩1.6B₩288M₩2.2B
Free cash flow———₩16B₩13B₩11B₩8.9B₩7.3B
Discount factor———0.9320.8690.8100.7550.704
Present value———₩15B₩11B₩8.7B₩6.7B₩5.1B

Terminal value ₩223B, worth ₩157B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩9,734 a share)Now 1.40×₩8,1600.84×₩13,2021.36×₩32,1343.30×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩835 a share)Now 16.3×₩8,69710.4×₩11,65314.0×₩16,40119.6×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩982 a share)Now 13.8×₩10,22410.4×₩13,69914.0×₩19,28119.6×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2023, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩6,062₩6,669₩7,414₩8,355₩9,578
6.8%₩5,182₩5,655₩6,225₩6,925₩7,807
7.3%₩4,444₩4,818₩5,262₩5,795₩6,451
7.8%₩3,815₩4,115₩4,466₩4,880₩5,379
8.3%₩3,273₩3,517₩3,797₩4,123₩4,510

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩298B
Enterprise value
₩344B
P/E
16.3×
P/B
1.4×
P/S
1.1×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

202520242023
Price₩7,650₩7,830₩25,799
Market cap₩168B₩172B₩566B
P/E10.5×13.3×24.9×
P/B0.9×0.9×3.2×
P/S0.6×0.6×2.8×
EV/EBITDA———
Dividend yield0.0%0.0%—

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Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Temc16.3×1.4×1.1×—0.0%
LG Chem—0.5×0.3×—0.9%
Hanwha Solutions—0.6×0.4×—0.0%
Hanwha6.2×0.4×0.1×—1.4%
SKC—2.1×2.0×—0.0%
KCC0.9×0.3×0.5×8.7×0.0%
Kumho Petro Chemical5.2×0.4×0.4×—1.6%
Similar companies (median)5.2×0.4×0.4×8.7×0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Temc / 티이엠씨 / 425040 / KRX:425040

Source: KRX statistical information