Temc티이엠씨
425040 · KOSDAQ · ₩425040 · 티이엠씨
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩5,262
vs the current price (₩13,580)
- Enterprise value
- ₩204B
- Equity value
- ₩115B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 61% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩13,580, the model needs an operating margin of 14.4% every year (it uses 8.6%).
- Or revenue growth +20.1 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 6.4% to 15.1% over the last 4 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 32% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 16.3× against a typical 14.0× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,101
- −91.9%
- Base
- ₩5,262
- −61.3%
- Bull
- ₩12,710
- −6.4%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (8.6%).
Revenue growth
- -7.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -4.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -2.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 8.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 4 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 9.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 11.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 30.2%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.67
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.51, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩276B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩48B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩52B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩93B
- Shares
- 21,922,898
- Share price
- ₩13,580
- Market cap
- ₩298B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩201B | ₩310B | ₩280B | ₩256B | ₩244B | ₩238B | ₩239B | ₩246B |
| Growth | −42.9% | 54.5% | −9.8% | −7.4% | −4.8% | −2.2% | 0.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩21B | ₩20B | ₩25B | ₩22B | ₩21B | ₩20B | ₩21B | ₩21B |
| EBIT margin | 10.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩15B | ₩14B | ₩18B | ₩16B | ₩15B | ₩15B | ₩15B | ₩15B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩24B | ₩23B | ₩22B | ₩22B | ₩23B |
| − Capital spending | ₩32B | ₩34B | ₩23B | ₩30B | ₩29B | ₩28B | ₩28B | ₩29B |
| − Working capital | ₩9.2B | −₩2.7B | ₩18B | −₩6.2B | −₩3.7B | −₩1.6B | ₩288M | ₩2.2B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩16B | ₩13B | ₩11B | ₩8.9B | ₩7.3B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.869 | 0.810 | 0.755 | 0.704 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩15B | ₩11B | ₩8.7B | ₩6.7B | ₩5.1B |
Terminal value ₩223B, worth ₩157B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩9,734 a share)Now 1.40× | ₩8,1600.84× | ₩13,2021.36× | ₩32,1343.30× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩835 a share)Now 16.3× | ₩8,69710.4× | ₩11,65314.0× | ₩16,40119.6× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩982 a share)Now 13.8× | ₩10,22410.4× | ₩13,69914.0× | ₩19,28119.6× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2023, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩6,062 | ₩6,669 | ₩7,414 | ₩8,355 | ₩9,578 |
| 6.8% | ₩5,182 | ₩5,655 | ₩6,225 | ₩6,925 | ₩7,807 |
| 7.3% | ₩4,444 | ₩4,818 | ₩5,262 | ₩5,795 | ₩6,451 |
| 7.8% | ₩3,815 | ₩4,115 | ₩4,466 | ₩4,880 | ₩5,379 |
| 8.3% | ₩3,273 | ₩3,517 | ₩3,797 | ₩4,123 | ₩4,510 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩298B
- Enterprise value
- ₩344B
- P/E
- 16.3×
- P/B
- 1.4×
- P/S
- 1.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩7,650 | ₩7,830 | ₩25,799 |
| Market cap | ₩168B | ₩172B | ₩566B |
| P/E | 10.5× | 13.3× | 24.9× |
| P/B | 0.9× | 0.9× | 3.2× |
| P/S | 0.6× | 0.6× | 2.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
Loading data for this company — check back soon
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Temc | 16.3× | 1.4× | 1.1× | — | 0.0% |
| LG Chem | — | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 0.9% |
| Hanwha Solutions | — | 0.6× | 0.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanwha | 6.2× | 0.4× | 0.1× | — | 1.4% |
| SKC | — | 2.1× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| KCC | 0.9× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 8.7× | 0.0% |
| Kumho Petro Chemical | 5.2× | 0.4× | 0.4× | — | 1.6% |
| Similar companies (median) | 5.2× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 8.7× | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Temc / 티이엠씨 / 425040 / KRX:425040
Source: KRX statistical information