TFE티에프이
425420 · KOSDAQ · ₩425420 · 티에프이
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩18,284
vs the current price (₩85,700)
- Enterprise value
- ₩226B
- Equity value
- ₩226B
- WACC
- 7.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 79% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩85,700, the model needs an operating margin of 43.5% every year (it uses 12.7%).
- Or revenue growth +47.6 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 6.0% to 17.1% over the last 4 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 51.6× against a typical 38.5× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩10,336
- −87.9%
- Base
- ₩18,284
- −78.7%
- Bull
- ₩31,812
- −62.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (12.7%).
Revenue growth
- 20.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 16.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 11.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 7.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 12.7%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 4 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 13.9%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 17.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 34.8%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.62
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.44, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩131B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩134M
- Shares
- 12,347,181
- Share price
- ₩85,700
- Market cap
- ₩1.1T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩80B | ₩74B | ₩112B | ₩157B | ₩183B | ₩205B | ₩220B | ₩226B |
| Growth | 26.0% | −8.3% | 51.8% | 20.6% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩9.2B | ₩4.4B | ₩19B | ₩20B | ₩23B | ₩26B | ₩28B | ₩29B |
| EBIT margin | 11.5% | 6.0% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.7% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩6.7B | ₩3.2B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩17B | ₩19B | ₩20B | ₩21B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩22B | ₩25B | ₩28B | ₩31B | ₩31B |
| − Capital spending | ₩11B | ₩18B | ₩15B | ₩27B | ₩32B | ₩36B | ₩38B | ₩39B |
| − Working capital | −₩31B | ₩42B | −₩974M | ₩9.4B | ₩8.9B | ₩7.5B | ₩5.3B | ₩2.3B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩373M | ₩1.6B | ₩4.2B | ₩7.3B | ₩11B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.930 | 0.865 | 0.805 | 0.749 | 0.697 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩347M | ₩1.4B | ₩3.4B | ₩5.4B | ₩7.4B |
Terminal value ₩299B, worth ₩209B today: 92% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩12,228 a share)Now 7.01× | ₩28,0392.29× | ₩56,6314.63× | ₩80,3376.57× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,660 a share)Now 51.6× | ₩33,69420.3× | ₩63,90038.5× | ₩127,62876.9× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩811 a share)Now 105.7× | ₩16,45420.3× | ₩31,20538.5× | ₩62,32776.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2023, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5% | ₩19,830 | ₩21,300 | ₩23,091 | ₩25,325 | ₩28,192 |
| 7.0% | ₩17,877 | ₩19,045 | ₩20,443 | ₩22,146 | ₩24,271 |
| 7.5% | ₩16,231 | ₩17,174 | ₩18,284 | ₩19,611 | ₩21,230 |
| 8.0% | ₩14,827 | ₩15,596 | ₩16,491 | ₩17,545 | ₩18,805 |
| 8.5% | ₩13,615 | ₩14,250 | ₩14,981 | ₩15,829 | ₩16,829 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩1.1T
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.1T
- P/E
- 51.6×
- P/B
- 7.0×
- P/S
- 8.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩36,400 | ₩16,160 | ₩36,000 | ₩7,840 |
| Market cap | ₩449B | ₩200B | ₩444B | ₩97B |
| P/E | 24.8× | 137.4× | 40.0× | 14.4× |
| P/B | 4.1× | 2.5× | 6.2× | 1.6× |
| P/S | 4.0× | 2.7× | 5.5× | 1.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TFE | 51.6× | 7.0× | 8.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 95.9× | 9.4× | 7.8× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 37.2× | 5.2× | 0.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 69.5× | 2.7× | 3.0× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 12.4× | 1.3× | 0.3× | — | 0.5% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 44.9× | 7.0× | 5.1× | — | 0.4% |
| Isupetasys | 33.8× | 7.9× | 5.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 41.1× | 6.1× | 4.0× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: TFE / 티에프이 / 425420 / KRX:425420
Source: KRX statistical information