Ercohs Agricultural

435570 · KOSDAQ · ₩435570 · 에르코스

₩6,730 ₩0 (0.00%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
₩1.6B
Equity value
−₩22B
WACC
6.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩6,730, the model needs an operating margin of 14.3% every year (it uses 2.1%).
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.1%).

Revenue growth

  • -2.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2.1%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 2 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 11.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 14.6%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 2 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -10%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 2 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 87 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.39, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩38B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩26B
+ Stakes and investments
₩2.5B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
7,616,983
Share price
₩6,730
Market cap
₩51B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩36B₩36B₩37B₩37B₩37B₩37B₩38B
Growth—−2.3%−2.3%−1.0%0.4%1.7%3.0%
EBIT₩3.2B₩270M₩774M₩767M₩770M₩783M₩806M
EBIT margin8.9%0.8%2.1%2.1%2.1%2.1%2.1%
After-tax EBIT₩2.3B₩196M₩561M₩556M₩558M₩567M₩585M
+ Depreciation——₩4.3B₩4.3B₩4.3B₩4.4B₩4.5B
− Capital spending₩4.2B₩6.3B₩5.4B₩5.3B₩5.4B₩5.4B₩5.6B
− Working capital—₩294M₩87M₩37M−₩15M−₩62M−₩112M
Free cash flow——−₩595M−₩540M−₩490M−₩451M−₩417M
Discount factor——0.9410.8850.8330.7840.737
Present value——−₩560M−₩478M−₩408M−₩354M−₩308M

Terminal value ₩5.1B, worth ₩3.7B today: 230% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.3%—————
5.8%—————
6.3%—————
6.8%—————
7.3%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩51B
Enterprise value
₩77B
P/E
—
P/B
0.9×
P/S
1.4×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
1.9%

Over time (at each year end)

2025
Price₩14,810
Market cap₩113B
P/E—
P/B2.1×
P/S3.2×
EV/EBITDA—
Dividend yield0.9%

Loading data for this company — check back soon

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Ercohs Agricultural—0.9×1.4×—1.9%
Samyang Foods18.4×5.9×3.3×—0.4%
Orion10.5×1.1×1.2×5.3×3.1%
CJ Cheiljedang—0.3×0.1×—3.5%
Nongshim12.0×0.8×0.7×—1.5%
Otoki16.9×0.6×0.3×—2.9%
Hite Jinro23.0×0.9×0.4×6.3×4.5%
Similar companies (median)16.9×0.9×0.5×5.8×3.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Ercohs Agricultural / 에르코스 / 435570 / KRX:435570

Source: KRX statistical information