Daehan Shipbuilding

439260 · KOSPI · ₩439260 · 대한조선

₩36,850▲ ₩550 (1.52%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩140,879

vs the current price (₩36,850)

Enterprise value
₩4.6T
Equity value
₩5.4T
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 282% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩36,850, the model needs an operating margin of 4.0% every year (it uses 25.2%).

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩102,660
+178.6%
Base
₩140,879
+282.3%
Bull
₩203,047
+451.0%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (25.2%).

Revenue growth

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

Business

  • 25.2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 1 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0.6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 0.7%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 1 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 16.5%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 1 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.03%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 65 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.41, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.53%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩1.3T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩630B
+ Stakes and investments
₩146B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
38,088,730
Share price
₩36,850
Market cap
₩1.4T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩1.2T₩1.3T₩1.4T₩1.4T₩1.4T₩1.5T
Growth—3.0%3.0%3.0%3.0%3.0%
EBIT₩294B₩334B₩344B₩354B₩365B₩376B
EBIT margin23.9%25.2%25.2%25.2%25.2%25.2%
After-tax EBIT₩213B₩242B₩249B₩257B₩265B₩273B
+ Depreciation—₩8B₩8.2B₩8.4B₩8.7B₩9B
− Capital spending₩9B₩9.3B₩9.6B₩9.8B₩10B₩10B
− Working capital—₩6.4B₩6.6B₩6.8B₩7B₩7.2B
Free cash flow—₩235B₩242B₩249B₩256B₩264B
Discount factor—0.9320.8680.8090.7530.702
Present value—₩218B₩210B₩201B₩193B₩185B

Terminal value ₩5.1T, worth ₩3.6T today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩146,056₩156,288₩168,876₩184,743₩205,365
6.8%₩135,151₩143,435₩153,428₩165,723₩181,220
7.3%₩125,971₩132,788₩140,879₩150,640₩162,649
7.8%₩118,137₩123,825₩130,483₩138,387₩147,922
8.3%₩111,373₩116,175₩121,731₩128,236₩135,957

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩1.4T
Enterprise value
₩773B
P/E
4.7×
P/B
1.2×
P/S
1.1×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.7%

Over time (at each year end)

2025
Price₩67,000
Market cap₩2.6T
P/E10.3×
P/B2.3×
P/S2.1×
EV/EBITDA—
Dividend yield0.4%

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Daehan Shipbuilding4.7×1.2×1.1×—0.7%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries12.2×2.9×1.4×—1.9%
Hanwha Ocean7.8×2.2×1.1×—0.0%
Samsung Heavy Industries25.5×3.0×1.2×—0.0%
Sejin Heavy Industries6.6×1.7×1.1×—3.0%
Hyundai Hyms14.5×1.4×1.4×—1.3%
Inhwa Precision12.3×0.9×2.7×15.6×2.2%
Similar companies (median)12.2×1.9×1.3×15.6×1.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Daehan Shipbuilding / 대한조선 / 439260 / KRX:439260

Source: KRX statistical information