SPSoft

443670 · KOSDAQ · ₩443670 · 에스피소프트

₩4,840▲ ₩1,115 (29.93%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩3,809

vs the current price (₩4,840)

Enterprise value
₩72B
Equity value
₩91B
WACC
8.2%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩2,420
−50.0%
Base
₩3,809
−21.3%
Bull
₩6,096
+26.0%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (8.9%).

Revenue growth

  • 24.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (24.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 19%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (24.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 13.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (24.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (24.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (24.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 8.9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 3 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.5%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.

  • 24.2%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.74

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.62, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩53B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩20B
+ Stakes and investments
₩11M
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
24,010,564
Share price
₩4,840
Market cap
₩116B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩35B₩45B₩54B₩66B₩79B₩90B₩97B₩100B
Growth—28.0%20.8%24.3%19.0%13.7%8.3%3.0%
EBIT₩4.8B₩3.8B₩3.6B₩5.9B₩7B₩8B₩8.6B₩8.9B
EBIT margin13.5%8.3%6.6%8.9%8.9%8.9%8.9%8.9%
After-tax EBIT₩3.4B₩2.7B₩2.6B₩4.3B₩5.1B₩5.8B₩6.3B₩6.5B
+ Depreciation—₩1.2B₩1.3B₩1.7B₩2B₩2.2B₩2.4B₩2.5B
− Capital spending———₩2.7B₩3.2B₩3.6B₩3.9B₩4B
− Working capital—₩8.7B₩7.3B₩3.1B₩3B₩2.6B₩1.8B₩705M
Free cash flow———₩147M₩859M₩1.8B₩3B₩4.3B
Discount factor———0.9250.8550.7910.7310.676
Present value———₩136M₩734M₩1.4B₩2.2B₩2.9B

Terminal value ₩95B, worth ₩64B today: 90% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩2,774 a share)Now 1.74×₩4,0501.46×₩6,9042.49×₩14,8305.35×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩147 a share)Now 33.0×₩3,38923.1×₩6,16942.1×₩7,83453.5×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2024, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
7.2%₩4,037₩4,244₩4,490₩4,789₩5,159
7.7%₩3,752₩3,921₩4,119₩4,354₩4,639
8.2%₩3,509₩3,648₩3,809₩3,997₩4,222
8.7%₩3,298₩3,413₩3,546₩3,699₩3,879
9.2%₩3,113₩3,210₩3,321₩3,447₩3,593

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩116B
Enterprise value
₩96B
P/E
33.0×
P/B
1.7×
P/S
2.2×
EV/EBITDA
18.7×
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024
Price₩5,450₩8,380
Market cap₩131B₩201B
P/E34.3×666.1×
P/B1.9×3.2×
P/S2.4×4.5×
EV/EBITDA23.2×36.7×
Dividend yield0.0%—

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Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
SPSoft33.0×1.7×2.2×18.7×0.0%
Samsung SDS26.5×1.7×1.2×—1.4%
LG CNS15.9×2.5×1.2×—2.3%
DB7.5×1.0×0.7×16.9×0.0%
Itcenglobal7.1×3.1×0.0×—0.0%
Lotte Innovate15.6×0.6×0.2×—3.9%
Shinsegae Information & Communication6.4×0.4×0.3×0.8×0.0%
Similar companies (median)11.6×1.3×0.5×8.8×0.7%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: SPSoft / 에스피소프트 / 443670 / KRX:443670

Source: KRX statistical information