Asicland에이직랜드
445090 · KOSDAQ · ₩445090 · 에이직랜드
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩354B
- Equity value
- −₩364B
- WACC
- 8.1%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩17,680, the model needs an operating margin of 16.7% every year (it uses −14.2%).
- Margins ranged from −37.9% to 5.2% over the last 3 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−14.2%).
Revenue growth
- -0.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -14.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 3 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 30%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 37.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -9.5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.8
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.69, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩156B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩18B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩8.9B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 10,925,658
- Share price
- ₩17,680
- Market cap
- ₩193B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩74B | ₩94B | ₩73B | ₩155B | ₩155B | ₩157B | ₩160B | ₩164B |
| Growth | — | 26.8% | −22.5% | −0.9% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩3.9B | −₩17B | −₩28B | −₩22B | −₩22B | −₩22B | −₩23B | −₩23B |
| EBIT margin | 5.2% | −18.0% | −37.9% | −14.2% | −14.2% | −14.2% | −14.2% | −14.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩2.8B | −₩12B | −₩20B | −₩16B | −₩16B | −₩16B | −₩16B | −₩17B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩46B | ₩46B | ₩47B | ₩48B | ₩49B |
| − Capital spending | ₩34B | ₩16B | ₩37B | ₩58B | ₩58B | ₩59B | ₩60B | ₩62B |
| − Working capital | — | −₩19B | −₩18B | ₩133M | −₩15M | −₩162M | −₩297M | −₩455M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩28B | −₩28B | −₩28B | −₩28B | −₩29B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.925 | 0.855 | 0.791 | 0.732 | 0.677 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩26B | −₩24B | −₩22B | −₩21B | −₩19B |
Terminal value −₩359B, worth −₩243B today: 69% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩7,808 a share)Now 2.26× | ₩21,9502.81× | ₩34,4154.41× | ₩41,2765.29× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2024, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩193B
- Enterprise value
- ₩210B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 2.3×
- P/S
- 1.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩28,600 | ₩34,400 | ₩59,200 |
| Market cap | ₩312B | ₩376B | ₩647B |
| P/E | — | — | 177.6× |
| P/B | 5.7× | 4.5× | 6.6× |
| P/S | 4.3× | 4.0× | 8.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asicland | — | 2.3× | 1.2× | — | 0.0% |
| SK hynix | 6.0× | 3.7× | 5.2× | — | 0.2% |
| DB HiTek | 11.9× | 1.7× | 2.7× | — | 0.9% |
| Fadu | — | 37.7× | 13.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Hana Micron | 13.8× | 4.3× | 1.1× | — | 0.2% |
| Jeju Semiconductor | 9.5× | 4.9× | 3.3× | — | 0.0% |
| SFA Semicon | — | 3.0× | 3.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 10.7× | 4.0× | 3.2× | — | 0.1% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Asicland / 에이직랜드 / 445090 / KRX:445090
Source: KRX statistical information