Asicland

445090 · KOSDAQ · ₩445090 · 에이직랜드

₩17,680▲ ₩280 (1.61%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩354B
Equity value
−₩364B
WACC
8.1%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩17,680, the model needs an operating margin of 16.7% every year (it uses −14.2%).
  • Margins ranged from −37.9% to 5.2% over the last 3 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−14.2%).

Revenue growth

  • -0.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -14.2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 3 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 30%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 37.5%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -9.5%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.8

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.69, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩156B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩18B
+ Stakes and investments
₩8.9B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
10,925,658
Share price
₩17,680
Market cap
₩193B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩74B₩94B₩73B₩155B₩155B₩157B₩160B₩164B
Growth—26.8%−22.5%−0.9%0.1%1.1%2.0%3.0%
EBIT₩3.9B−₩17B−₩28B−₩22B−₩22B−₩22B−₩23B−₩23B
EBIT margin5.2%−18.0%−37.9%−14.2%−14.2%−14.2%−14.2%−14.2%
After-tax EBIT₩2.8B−₩12B−₩20B−₩16B−₩16B−₩16B−₩16B−₩17B
+ Depreciation———₩46B₩46B₩47B₩48B₩49B
− Capital spending₩34B₩16B₩37B₩58B₩58B₩59B₩60B₩62B
− Working capital—−₩19B−₩18B₩133M−₩15M−₩162M−₩297M−₩455M
Free cash flow———−₩28B−₩28B−₩28B−₩28B−₩29B
Discount factor———0.9250.8550.7910.7320.677
Present value———−₩26B−₩24B−₩22B−₩21B−₩19B

Terminal value −₩359B, worth −₩243B today: 69% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩7,808 a share)Now 2.26×₩21,9502.81×₩34,4154.41×₩41,2765.29×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2024, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
7.1%—————
7.6%—————
8.1%—————
8.6%—————
9.1%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩193B
Enterprise value
₩210B
P/E
—
P/B
2.3×
P/S
1.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

202520242023
Price₩28,600₩34,400₩59,200
Market cap₩312B₩376B₩647B
P/E——177.6×
P/B5.7×4.5×6.6×
P/S4.3×4.0×8.7×
EV/EBITDA———
Dividend yield0.0%——

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Asicland—2.3×1.2×—0.0%
SK hynix6.0×3.7×5.2×—0.2%
DB HiTek11.9×1.7×2.7×—0.9%
Fadu—37.7×13.2×—0.0%
Hana Micron13.8×4.3×1.1×—0.2%
Jeju Semiconductor9.5×4.9×3.3×—0.0%
SFA Semicon—3.0×3.2×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)10.7×4.0×3.2×—0.1%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Asicland / 에이직랜드 / 445090 / KRX:445090

Source: KRX statistical information