SamsungFN Reit삼성FN리츠
448730 · KOSPI · ₩448730 · 삼성FN리츠
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- ₩193B
- Equity value
- −₩206B
- WACC
- 5.8%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- No operating margin up to 90% gets the model to today's price at these growth assumptions.
- Or revenue growth +39.4 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (59.9%).
Revenue growth
- 14.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (14.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 11.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (14.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (14.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (14.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (14.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 59.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 3 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.16, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (FY 2025)
- ₩12B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩399B
- Shares
- 91,050,000
- Share price
- ₩4,995
- Market cap
- ₩455B
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩9.3B | ₩10B | ₩12B | ₩14B | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩18B | ₩19B |
| Growth | — | 9.8% | 20.1% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩5.6B | ₩5.9B | ₩7.4B | ₩8.4B | ₩9.4B | ₩10B | ₩11B | ₩11B |
| EBIT margin | 60.5% | 58.2% | 60.5% | 59.9% | 59.9% | 59.9% | 59.9% | 59.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩4.1B | ₩4.3B | ₩5.4B | ₩6.1B | ₩6.8B | ₩7.4B | ₩7.9B | ₩8.1B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩421M | ₩472M | ₩514M | ₩544M | ₩561M |
| − Capital spending | — | — | — | ₩562M | ₩629M | ₩685M | ₩726M | ₩748M |
| − Working capital | — | −₩7.7B | ₩5.8B | −₩181M | −₩167M | −₩140M | −₩103M | −₩54M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩6.1B | ₩6.8B | ₩7.4B | ₩7.8B | ₩8B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.945 | 0.893 | 0.844 | 0.797 | 0.754 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩5.8B | ₩6.1B | ₩6.2B | ₩6.2B | ₩6B |
Terminal value ₩216B, worth ₩163B today: 84% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩4,465 a share)Now 1.12× | ₩4,3130.97× | ₩5,0101.12× | ₩5,5221.24× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2024, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩455B
- Enterprise value
- ₩854B
- P/E
- 148.2×
- P/B
- 1.1×
- P/S
- 37.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.5%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩4,710 | ₩4,600 | ₩5,020 |
| Market cap | ₩429B | ₩419B | ₩457B |
| P/E | 139.8× | 1,158.9× | 997.3× |
| P/B | 1.1× | 1.0× | 1.2× |
| P/S | 35.0× | 41.1× | 49.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.5% | 1.4% | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SamsungFN Reit | 148.2× | 1.1× | 37.2× | — | 1.5% |
| SK Reit | 50.0× | 0.8× | 23.0× | — | 1.3% |
| Lotte Reit | 59.8× | 1.1× | 16.4× | — | 2.8% |
| Hanwha Reit | 68.0× | 1.4× | 16.6× | 45.3× | 2.5% |
| ESR Kendall Square Reit | 1,180.4× | 0.7× | 11.6× | 73.5× | 4.5% |
| Shinhan Alpha REIT | 98.0× | 1.2× | 8.0× | 34.4× | 3.0% |
| Koramco Life Infra Reit | 73.7× | 0.8× | 9.2× | 15.0× | 4.3% |
| Similar companies (median) | 70.8× | 1.0× | 14.0× | 39.9× | 2.9% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: SamsungFN Reit / 삼성FN리츠 / 448730 / KRX:448730
Source: KRX statistical information