Asterasys아스테라시스
450950 · KOSDAQ · ₩450950 · 아스테라시스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩4,400
vs the current price (₩4,965)
- Enterprise value
- ₩163B
- Equity value
- ₩166B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩2,921
- −41.2%
- Base
- ₩4,400
- −11.4%
- Bull
- ₩6,841
- +37.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (20.4%).
Revenue growth
- 25%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (31.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 19.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (31.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (31.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (31.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (31.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 20.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 2 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 4.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 2 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 2 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 92 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.41, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩40B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩2.1B
- Shares
- 37,627,592
- Share price
- ₩4,965
- Market cap
- ₩187B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩29B | ₩38B | ₩50B | ₩59B | ₩67B | ₩73B | ₩75B |
| Growth | — | 31.6% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩6.7B | ₩10B | ₩10B | ₩12B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩15B |
| EBIT margin | 23.1% | 27.4% | 20.4% | 20.4% | 20.4% | 20.4% | 20.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩4.8B | ₩7.5B | ₩7.3B | ₩8.8B | ₩10B | ₩11B | ₩11B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | ₩1.6B | ₩2B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.5B |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.2B | ₩1.5B | ₩2B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.8B | ₩3B | ₩3.1B |
| − Working capital | — | ₩16B | ₩4B | ₩3.9B | ₩3.3B | ₩2.3B | ₩878M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | ₩3B | ₩4.4B | ₩6.1B | ₩7.9B | ₩9.7B |
| Discount factor | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | ₩2.8B | ₩3.8B | ₩5B | ₩6B | ₩6.8B |
Terminal value ₩198B, worth ₩139B today: 85% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩4,672 | ₩5,042 | ₩5,497 | ₩6,070 | ₩6,816 |
| 6.8% | ₩4,238 | ₩4,534 | ₩4,891 | ₩5,330 | ₩5,883 |
| 7.3% | ₩3,873 | ₩4,114 | ₩4,400 | ₩4,744 | ₩5,167 |
| 7.8% | ₩3,563 | ₩3,761 | ₩3,994 | ₩4,269 | ₩4,601 |
| 8.3% | ₩3,295 | ₩3,461 | ₩3,653 | ₩3,876 | ₩4,142 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩187B
- Enterprise value
- ₩183B
- P/E
- 24.7×
- P/B
- 4.1×
- P/S
- 4.7×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.1%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | |
|---|---|
| Price | ₩12,370 |
| Market cap | ₩465B |
| P/E | 50.5× |
| P/B | 10.0× |
| P/S | 12.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.8% |
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Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asterasys | 24.7× | 4.1× | 4.7× | — | 2.1% |
| TSE | 27.5× | 6.1× | 5.1× | — | 0.2% |
| Kctech | 22.1× | 3.4× | 4.1× | 17.1× | 0.5% |
| Classys | 12.7× | 3.2× | 4.7× | 9.9× | 3.7% |
| Park Systems | 69.0× | 4.7× | 8.2× | — | 0.2% |
| DI | 42.2× | 5.8× | 2.6× | — | 0.6% |
| Curiox Biosystems | — | 21.3× | 182.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 27.5× | 5.3× | 4.9× | 13.5× | 0.3% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Asterasys / 아스테라시스 / 450950 / KRX:450950
Source: KRX statistical information