Hanwha Reit

451800 · KOSPI · ₩451800 · 한화리츠

₩5,340▼ ₩10 (0.19%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩1,138

vs the current price (₩5,340)

Enterprise value
₩1.1T
Equity value
₩204B
WACC
5.8%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 79% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • No operating margin up to 90% gets the model to today's price at these growth assumptions.
  • Or revenue growth +13.5 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩1,138
−78.7%
Bull
₩4,663
−12.7%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (56.6%).

Revenue growth

  • 25%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (50.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 19.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (50.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 14%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (50.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (50.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (50.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 56.6%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 3 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 12.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.

  • -10%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.31, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩58B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩883B
+ Stakes and investments
₩429M
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
179,600,000
Share price
₩5,340
Market cap
₩959B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩23B₩34B₩52B₩72B₩86B₩98B₩107B₩110B
Growth—44.0%56.4%25.0%19.5%14.0%8.5%3.0%
EBIT₩12B₩19B₩30B₩41B₩49B₩56B₩60B₩62B
EBIT margin53.2%56.9%57.3%56.6%56.6%56.6%56.6%56.6%
After-tax EBIT₩9B₩14B₩22B₩30B₩35B₩40B₩44B₩45B
+ Depreciation——₩6.3B₩8.7B₩10B₩12B₩13B₩13B
− Capital spending———₩2.9B₩3.4B₩3.9B₩4.3B₩4.4B
− Working capital—−₩19B−₩2.6B−₩1.4B−₩1.4B−₩1.2B−₩835M−₩320M
Free cash flow———₩37B₩44B₩49B₩53B₩54B
Discount factor———0.9450.8930.8440.7980.754
Present value———₩35B₩39B₩42B₩42B₩41B

Terminal value ₩1.2T, worth ₩888B today: 82% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩3,752 a share)Now 1.42×₩4,0191.07×₩7,6772.05×₩9,9662.66×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2023, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
4.8%₩1,348₩2,158₩3,258₩4,834₩7,283
5.3%₩630₩1,242₩2,038₩3,118₩4,667
5.8%₩62₩537₩1,138₩1,920₩2,982
6.3%——₩446₩1,037₩1,805
6.8%———₩358₩938

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩959B
Enterprise value
₩1.8T
P/E
68.0×
P/B
1.4×
P/S
16.6×
EV/EBITDA
45.3×
Dividend yield
2.5%

Over time (at each year end)

202520242023
Price₩4,145₩3,480₩5,020
Market cap₩744B₩625B₩902B
P/E64.1×223.2×324.1×
P/B1.1×1.9×2.6×
P/S14.2×18.7×38.7×
EV/EBITDA41.6×——
Dividend yield3.3%4.5%—

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Hanwha Reit68.0×1.4×16.6×45.3×2.5%
SK Reit50.0×0.8×23.0×—1.3%
Lotte Reit59.8×1.1×16.4×—2.8%
ESR Kendall Square Reit1,180.4×0.7×11.6×73.5×4.5%
Shinhan Alpha REIT98.0×1.2×8.0×34.4×3.0%
SamsungFN Reit148.2×1.1×37.2×—1.5%
Koramco Life Infra Reit73.7×0.8×9.2×15.0×4.3%
Similar companies (median)85.9×1.0×14.0×34.4×2.9%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Hanwha Reit / 한화리츠 / 451800 / KRX:451800

Source: KRX statistical information