Hanwha Reit한화리츠
451800 · KOSPI · ₩451800 · 한화리츠
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩1,138
vs the current price (₩5,340)
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.1T
- Equity value
- ₩204B
- WACC
- 5.8%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 79% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- No operating margin up to 90% gets the model to today's price at these growth assumptions.
- Or revenue growth +13.5 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩1,138
- −78.7%
- Bull
- ₩4,663
- −12.7%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (56.6%).
Revenue growth
- 25%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (50.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 19.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (50.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (50.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (50.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (50.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 56.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 3 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 12.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.31, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩58B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩883B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩429M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 179,600,000
- Share price
- ₩5,340
- Market cap
- ₩959B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩23B | ₩34B | ₩52B | ₩72B | ₩86B | ₩98B | ₩107B | ₩110B |
| Growth | — | 44.0% | 56.4% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩12B | ₩19B | ₩30B | ₩41B | ₩49B | ₩56B | ₩60B | ₩62B |
| EBIT margin | 53.2% | 56.9% | 57.3% | 56.6% | 56.6% | 56.6% | 56.6% | 56.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩9B | ₩14B | ₩22B | ₩30B | ₩35B | ₩40B | ₩44B | ₩45B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | ₩6.3B | ₩8.7B | ₩10B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩13B |
| − Capital spending | — | — | — | ₩2.9B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.9B | ₩4.3B | ₩4.4B |
| − Working capital | — | −₩19B | −₩2.6B | −₩1.4B | −₩1.4B | −₩1.2B | −₩835M | −₩320M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩37B | ₩44B | ₩49B | ₩53B | ₩54B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.945 | 0.893 | 0.844 | 0.798 | 0.754 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩35B | ₩39B | ₩42B | ₩42B | ₩41B |
Terminal value ₩1.2T, worth ₩888B today: 82% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3,752 a share)Now 1.42× | ₩4,0191.07× | ₩7,6772.05× | ₩9,9662.66× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2023, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.8% | ₩1,348 | ₩2,158 | ₩3,258 | ₩4,834 | ₩7,283 |
| 5.3% | ₩630 | ₩1,242 | ₩2,038 | ₩3,118 | ₩4,667 |
| 5.8% | ₩62 | ₩537 | ₩1,138 | ₩1,920 | ₩2,982 |
| 6.3% | — | — | ₩446 | ₩1,037 | ₩1,805 |
| 6.8% | — | — | — | ₩358 | ₩938 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩959B
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.8T
- P/E
- 68.0×
- P/B
- 1.4×
- P/S
- 16.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- 45.3×
- Dividend yield
- 2.5%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩4,145 | ₩3,480 | ₩5,020 |
| Market cap | ₩744B | ₩625B | ₩902B |
| P/E | 64.1× | 223.2× | 324.1× |
| P/B | 1.1× | 1.9× | 2.6× |
| P/S | 14.2× | 18.7× | 38.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | 41.6× | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 3.3% | 4.5% | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanwha Reit | 68.0× | 1.4× | 16.6× | 45.3× | 2.5% |
| SK Reit | 50.0× | 0.8× | 23.0× | — | 1.3% |
| Lotte Reit | 59.8× | 1.1× | 16.4× | — | 2.8% |
| ESR Kendall Square Reit | 1,180.4× | 0.7× | 11.6× | 73.5× | 4.5% |
| Shinhan Alpha REIT | 98.0× | 1.2× | 8.0× | 34.4× | 3.0% |
| SamsungFN Reit | 148.2× | 1.1× | 37.2× | — | 1.5% |
| Koramco Life Infra Reit | 73.7× | 0.8× | 9.2× | 15.0× | 4.3% |
| Similar companies (median) | 85.9× | 1.0× | 14.0× | 34.4× | 2.9% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Hanwha Reit / 한화리츠 / 451800 / KRX:451800
Source: KRX statistical information