Mintech민테크
452200 · KOSDAQ · ₩452200 · 민테크
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩80B
- Equity value
- −₩86B
- WACC
- 7.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,450, the model needs an operating margin of 21.0% every year (it uses −20.0%).
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).
Revenue growth
- 0.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (0.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (0.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (0.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (0.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (0.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -20%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 2 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 5.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 2 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 21.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 2 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 2 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.74
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.61, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩22B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩6.6B
- Shares
- 24,332,800
- Share price
- ₩1,450
- Market cap
- ₩35B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩21B | ₩21B | ₩23B | ₩23B | ₩23B | ₩24B | ₩25B |
| Growth | — | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩11B | −₩8.8B | −₩4.5B | −₩4.6B | −₩4.7B | −₩4.8B | −₩4.9B |
| EBIT margin | −52.6% | −41.9% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩7.9B | −₩6.4B | −₩3.3B | −₩3.3B | −₩3.4B | −₩3.5B | −₩3.6B |
| + Depreciation | ₩715M | ₩1.5B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B |
| − Capital spending | ₩7.5B | ₩1.6B | ₩4.9B | ₩5B | ₩5.1B | ₩5.2B | ₩5.4B |
| − Working capital | — | −₩621M | ₩72M | ₩117M | ₩174M | ₩224M | ₩286M |
| Free cash flow | −₩15B | −₩5.8B | −₩7.1B | −₩7.2B | −₩7.4B | −₩7.6B | −₩7.9B |
| Discount factor | — | — | 0.930 | 0.865 | 0.804 | 0.748 | 0.696 |
| Present value | — | — | −₩6.6B | −₩6.2B | −₩5.9B | −₩5.7B | −₩5.5B |
Terminal value −₩72B, worth −₩50B today: 63% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩1,189 a share)Now 1.22× | ₩1,6311.37× | ₩3,2742.75× | ₩5,3284.48× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2024, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩35B
- Enterprise value
- ₩42B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 1.2×
- P/S
- 1.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,370 | ₩4,790 |
| Market cap | ₩58B | ₩117B |
| P/E | — | — |
| P/B | 1.7× | 3.8× |
| P/S | 2.7× | 5.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mintech | — | 1.2× | 1.6× | — | 0.0% |
| TSE | 27.5× | 6.1× | 5.1× | — | 0.2% |
| Kctech | 20.8× | 3.2× | 3.8× | 16.1× | 0.5% |
| Classys | 12.6× | 3.1× | 4.7× | 9.8× | 3.8% |
| Park Systems | 68.1× | 4.6× | 8.1× | — | 0.2% |
| Curiox Biosystems | — | 21.9× | 187.1× | — | 0.0% |
| DI | 36.7× | 5.0× | 2.2× | — | 0.7% |
| Similar companies (median) | 27.5× | 4.8× | 4.9× | 13.0× | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Mintech / 민테크 / 452200 / KRX:452200
Source: KRX statistical information