Hanwha Galleria

452260 · KOSPI · ₩452260 · 한화갤러리아

₩2,410▼ ₩20 (0.82%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
₩105B
Equity value
−₩111B
WACC
6.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩2,410, the model needs an operating margin of 7.0% every year (it uses 2.8%).
  • Or revenue growth +37.0 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
₩1,946
−19.3%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.8%).

Revenue growth

  • 15.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (15.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 12%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (15.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (15.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (15.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (15.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2.8%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 3 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 14.3%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 17.8%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -10%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.32, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩596B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩226B
+ Stakes and investments
₩10B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
196,764,080
incl. 2,904,470 preferred
Share price
₩2,410
Market cap
₩480B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩434B₩538B₩575B₩686B₩768B₩837B₩888B₩914B
Growth—23.9%6.8%15.1%12.0%9.0%6.0%3.0%
EBIT₩9.8B₩3.1B₩9.4B₩19B₩22B₩23B₩25B₩26B
EBIT margin2.3%0.6%1.6%2.8%2.8%2.8%2.8%2.8%
After-tax EBIT₩7.1B₩2.3B₩6.8B₩14B₩16B₩17B₩18B₩19B
+ Depreciation———₩98B₩110B₩120B₩127B₩131B
− Capital spending₩134B₩56B₩70B₩122B₩137B₩149B₩158B₩163B
− Working capital—₩28B₩6.7B−₩9B−₩8.2B−₩6.9B−₩5B−₩2.7B
Free cash flow———−₩1.1B−₩3.1B−₩5.4B−₩8B−₩11B
Discount factor———0.9410.8850.8320.7830.736
Present value———−₩1B−₩2.7B−₩4.5B−₩6.3B−₩7.9B

Terminal value ₩173B, worth ₩127B today: 121% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩4,313 a share)Now 0.56×₩1,1410.26×₩1,3180.31×₩2,4100.56×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2023, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.3%————₩223
5.8%—————
6.3%—————
6.8%—————
7.3%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩467B
Enterprise value
₩693B
P/E
17.8×
P/B
0.6×
P/S
0.8×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

202520242023
Price₩1,368₩1,094₩1,358
Market cap₩265B₩212B₩263B
P/E80.1×——
P/B0.3×0.3×0.3×
P/S0.5×0.4×0.6×
EV/EBITDA———
Dividend yield0.0%——

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Hanwha Galleria17.8×0.6×0.8×—0.0%
Samsung C&T18.8×0.5×1.2×—0.9%
POSCO International10.6×1.3×0.3×—3.7%
ISC45.3×6.0×12.6×—0.5%
Youngone5.1×0.7×0.7×—3.1%
Dong SUH Companies18.9×1.6×5.1×—4.2%
Shinsegae14.4×0.5×0.3×—2.0%
Similar companies (median)16.6×1.0×1.0×—2.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Hanwha Galleria / 한화갤러리아 / 452260 / KRX:452260

Source: KRX statistical information