Hansun Engineering한선엔지니어링
452280 · KOSDAQ · ₩452280 · 한선엔지니어링
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩2,362
vs the current price (₩13,620)
- Enterprise value
- ₩79B
- Equity value
- ₩45B
- WACC
- 7.0%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 83% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩13,620, the model needs an operating margin of 28.4% every year (it uses 15.0%).
- Or revenue growth +29.3 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 39.4× against a typical 31.0× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩2,362
- −82.7%
- Bull
- ₩8,430
- −38.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (15.0%).
Revenue growth
- 15.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (15.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 12%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (15.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (15.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (15.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (15.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 15%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 3 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 32.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.25, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩81B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩34B
- Shares
- 19,247,670
- Share price
- ₩13,620
- Market cap
- ₩262B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩48B | ₩49B | ₩63B | ₩93B | ₩104B | ₩113B | ₩120B | ₩124B |
| Growth | — | 1.7% | 30.2% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩6.2B | ₩4.9B | ₩9.7B | ₩14B | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩18B | ₩19B |
| EBIT margin | 13.0% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 15.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩4.5B | ₩3.6B | ₩7.1B | ₩10B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩13B |
| + Depreciation | ₩2.1B | ₩2.3B | ₩1.8B | ₩3.7B | ₩4.2B | ₩4.5B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.9B |
| − Capital spending | ₩15B | ₩4.9B | ₩35B | ₩30B | ₩34B | ₩37B | ₩39B | ₩40B |
| − Working capital | — | ₩5.5B | −₩13B | ₩4.9B | ₩4.5B | ₩3.7B | ₩2.7B | ₩1.4B |
| Free cash flow | −₩8.8B | −₩4.5B | −₩13B | −₩21B | −₩23B | −₩24B | −₩24B | −₩23B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.934 | 0.873 | 0.816 | 0.762 | 0.712 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩20B | −₩20B | −₩19B | −₩18B | −₩17B |
Terminal value ₩243B, worth ₩173B today: 219% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩4,878 a share)Now 2.79× | ₩10,6502.18× | ₩13,6202.79× | ₩19,6964.04× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩345 a share)Now 39.4× | ₩9,00326.1× | ₩10,69331.0× | ₩17,24149.9× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,487 a share)Now 9.16× | ₩38,78526.1× | ₩46,06131.0× | ₩74,26849.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2024, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.0% | ₩2,951 | ₩3,861 | ₩4,994 | ₩6,446 | ₩8,374 |
| 6.5% | ₩1,936 | ₩2,651 | ₩3,522 | ₩4,607 | ₩5,997 |
| 7.0% | ₩1,105 | ₩1,677 | ₩2,362 | ₩3,195 | ₩4,233 |
| 7.5% | ₩415 | ₩880 | ₩1,427 | ₩2,081 | ₩2,878 |
| 8.0% | — | ₩217 | ₩661 | ₩1,184 | ₩1,809 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩262B
- Enterprise value
- ₩295B
- P/E
- 39.4×
- P/B
- 2.8×
- P/S
- 3.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- 15.6×
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩8,540 | ₩6,180 | ₩9,280 |
| Market cap | ₩164B | ₩119B | ₩179B |
| P/E | 18.4× | 28.6× | 39.3× |
| P/B | 2.4× | 2.0× | 3.3× |
| P/S | 2.6× | 2.5× | 3.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | 16.6× | 17.0× | 21.5× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hansun Engineering | 39.4× | 2.8× | 3.3× | 15.6× | 0.0% |
| CS Wind | 382.1× | 1.3× | 0.6× | — | 2.6% |
| Hankuk Carbon | 8.0× | 1.2× | 0.9× | — | 2.0% |
| Taewoong | 68.8× | 0.8× | 1.4× | 21.9× | 0.0% |
| YG-1 | 5.4× | 0.8× | 0.5× | — | 1.8% |
| Bosung Power Technology | 19.8× | 2.2× | 1.9× | 9.1× | 0.0% |
| HT Robotics | 42.1× | 3.0× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 31.0× | 1.2× | 1.1× | 15.5× | 0.9% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Hansun Engineering / 한선엔지니어링 / 452280 / KRX:452280
Source: KRX statistical information