ASTech

453860 · KOSDAQ · ₩453860 · 에이에스텍

₩6,800▲ ₩110 (1.64%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩32B
Equity value
−₩57B
WACC
6.1%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩6,800, the model needs an operating margin of 36.8% every year (it uses −0.9%).
  • Margins ranged from −0.4% to 20.4% over the last 3 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−0.9%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-28% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-28% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-28% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-28% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-28% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -0.9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 3 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 60.8%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 75.9%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 13.8%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.04, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩19B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩29B
+ Stakes and investments
₩2.9B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
6,444,423
Share price
₩6,800
Market cap
₩44B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩47B₩43B₩25B₩18B₩16B₩16B₩16B₩16B
Growth—−10.1%−42.3%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT₩9.2B₩8.7B−₩110M−₩158M−₩147M−₩142M−₩142M−₩146M
EBIT margin19.4%20.4%−0.4%−0.9%−0.9%−0.9%−0.9%−0.9%
After-tax EBIT₩6.6B₩6.3B−₩80M−₩114M−₩107M−₩103M−₩103M−₩106M
+ Depreciation———₩11B₩9.9B₩9.6B₩9.6B₩9.9B
− Capital spending₩9.2B₩35B₩31B₩13B₩12B₩12B₩12B₩12B
− Working capital—−₩387M−₩14B−₩269M−₩162M−₩79M−₩4.4M₩65M
Free cash flow———−₩2.5B−₩2.4B−₩2.4B−₩2.5B−₩2.6B
Discount factor———0.9430.8890.8380.7890.744
Present value———−₩2.3B−₩2.1B−₩2B−₩2B−₩1.9B

Terminal value −₩28B, worth −₩21B today: 67% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩10,152 a share)Now 0.67×₩8,6200.85×₩21,8342.15×₩39,4913.89×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2024, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.1%—————
5.6%—————
6.1%—————
6.6%—————
7.1%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩44B
Enterprise value
₩72B
P/E
—
P/B
0.7×
P/S
2.3×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
7.4%

Over time (at each year end)

202520242023
Price₩16,110₩18,810₩35,000
Market cap₩104B₩121B₩226B
P/E48.2×12.8×33.1×
P/B1.8×2.1×4.8×
P/S4.2×2.8×4.8×
EV/EBITDA———
Dividend yield3.1%——

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
ASTech—0.7×2.3×—7.4%
LG Chem—0.5×0.3×—0.8%
Hanwha Solutions—0.6×0.4×—0.0%
Hanwha6.3×0.4×0.1×—1.4%
SKC—2.1×2.0×—0.0%
KCC0.9×0.3×0.5×8.9×0.0%
Kumho Petro Chemical5.3×0.4×0.4×—1.6%
Similar companies (median)5.3×0.4×0.4×8.9×0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: ASTech / 에이에스텍 / 453860 / KRX:453860

Source: KRX statistical information