OCI

456040 · KOSPI · ₩456040 · OCI

₩58,600▲ ₩400 (0.69%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩48,581

vs the current price (₩58,600)

Enterprise value
₩846B
Equity value
₩435B
WACC
6.0%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩48,581
−17.1%
Bull
₩315,591
+438.6%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Start from

Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.2%).

Revenue growth

  • 24.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (24.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 19.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (24.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 13.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (24.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (24.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (24.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 3.2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 3 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 3.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 3.9%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 26.8%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.7

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.55, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩2T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩513B
+ Stakes and investments
₩144B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩42B
Shares
8,952,495
Share price
₩58,600
Market cap
₩525B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩1.3T₩2.2T₩2T₩2.5T₩3T₩3.4T₩3.7T₩3.8T
Growth—71.9%−9.3%24.9%19.4%13.9%8.5%3.0%
EBIT₩57B₩110B₩440M₩79B₩95B₩108B₩117B₩121B
EBIT margin4.5%5.0%0.0%3.2%3.2%3.2%3.2%3.2%
After-tax EBIT₩42B₩80B₩319M₩58B₩69B₩78B₩85B₩87B
+ Depreciation———₩77B₩92B₩105B₩113B₩117B
− Capital spending₩54B₩72B₩83B₩97B₩115B₩132B₩143B₩147B
− Working capital—₩145B₩35B₩132B₩129B₩110B₩77B₩29B
Free cash flow———−₩95B−₩84B−₩59B−₩21B₩28B
Discount factor———0.9430.8900.8390.7920.747
Present value———−₩89B−₩75B−₩50B−₩17B₩21B

Terminal value ₩1.4T, worth ₩1.1T today: 125% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩131,858 a share)Now 0.44×₩54,4080.41×₩80,3780.61×₩129,1480.98×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2023, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.0%₩74,975₩83,630₩95,013₩110,757₩134,116
5.5%₩56,102₩61,546₩68,417₩77,429₩89,860
6.0%₩41,108₩44,477₩48,581₩53,735₩60,461
6.5%₩28,934₩30,919₩33,253₩36,066₩39,564
7.0%₩18,873₩19,913₩21,080₩22,416₩23,986

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩525B
Enterprise value
₩1T
P/E
60.7×
P/B
0.4×
P/S
0.3×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

202520242023
Price₩59,600₩58,500₩111,300
Market cap₩534B₩524B₩996B
P/E—5.5×19.1×
P/B0.5×0.4×1.0×
P/S0.3×0.2×0.8×
EV/EBITDA———
Dividend yield0.0%3.8%—

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
OCI60.7×0.4×0.3×—0.0%
LG Chem—0.5×0.3×—0.8%
Hanwha Solutions—0.6×0.4×—0.0%
Hanwha6.3×0.4×0.1×—1.4%
SKC—2.1×2.0×—0.0%
KCC0.9×0.3×0.5×8.9×0.0%
Kumho Petro Chemical5.3×0.4×0.4×—1.6%
Similar companies (median)5.3×0.4×0.4×8.9×0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: OCI / 456040 / KRX:456040

Source: KRX statistical information