ENCell이엔셀
456070 · KOSDAQ · ₩456070 · 이엔셀
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩636
vs the current price (₩4,675)
- Enterprise value
- −₩11B
- Equity value
- ₩7B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 86% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩4,675, the model needs an operating margin of 80.6% every year (it uses −20.0%).
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩862
- −81.6%
- Base
- ₩636
- −86.4%
- Bull
- ₩312
- −93.3%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-27.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-27.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-27.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-27.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-27.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -20%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 2 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 27.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 34.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 2 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 39.5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 2 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.24, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩4.2B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩18B
- Shares
- 11,029,517
- Share price
- ₩4,675
- Market cap
- ₩52B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩7.2B | ₩5.3B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.5B |
| Growth | — | −27.1% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩16B | −₩18B | −₩750M | −₩699M | −₩675M | −₩674M | −₩694M |
| EBIT margin | −217.5% | −340.4% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩11B | −₩13B | −₩543M | −₩507M | −₩489M | −₩488M | −₩503M |
| + Depreciation | — | — | ₩1B | ₩962M | ₩928M | ₩926M | ₩954M |
| − Capital spending | ₩641M | ₩3.1B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B |
| − Working capital | — | −₩305M | −₩164M | −₩99M | −₩48M | −₩2.7M | ₩40M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | −₩638M | −₩649M | −₩674M | −₩718M | −₩782M |
| Discount factor | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | −₩594M | −₩564M | −₩545M | −₩541M | −₩550M |
Terminal value −₩12B, worth −₩8.5B today: 75% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩2,526 a share)Now 1.85× | ₩5,8302.31× | ₩8,3033.29× | ₩11,0144.36× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2024, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩617 | ₩523 | ₩406 | ₩258 | ₩66 |
| 6.8% | ₩705 | ₩627 | ₩533 | ₩417 | ₩271 |
| 7.3% | ₩778 | ₩713 | ₩636 | ₩543 | ₩428 |
| 7.8% | ₩840 | ₩786 | ₩722 | ₩645 | ₩553 |
| 8.3% | ₩895 | ₩848 | ₩794 | ₩730 | ₩654 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩52B
- Enterprise value
- ₩30B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 1.9×
- P/S
- 12.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩18,180 | ₩17,300 |
| Market cap | ₩201B | ₩191B |
| P/E | — | — |
| P/B | 5.1× | 4.0× |
| P/S | 38.1× | 26.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ENCell | — | 1.9× | 12.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Biologics | 34.7× | 8.2× | 15.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Celltrion | 28.2× | 2.5× | 9.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Alteogen | 76.3× | 27.5× | 58.0× | — | 0.1% |
| SK biopharmaceuticals | 15.2× | 6.0× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Yuhan | 23.3× | 2.3× | 2.4× | 30.4× | 0.8% |
| HLB | — | 15.5× | 54.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 28.2× | 7.1× | 12.1× | 30.4× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: ENCell / 이엔셀 / 456070 / KRX:456070
Source: KRX statistical information