ISU Specialty Chemical이수스페셜티케미컬
457190 · KOSPI · ₩457190 · 이수스페셜티케미컬
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩205B
- Equity value
- −₩355B
- WACC
- 7.7%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩74,400, the model needs an operating margin of 28.6% every year (it uses 0.5%).
- Margins ranged from −5.2% to 4.3% over the last 3 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (0.5%).
Revenue growth
- 25%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (87.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 19.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (87.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (87.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (87.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (87.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 0.5%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 3 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 8.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 25.5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.72
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.59, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩429B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩177B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩26B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 30,218,872
- Share price
- ₩74,400
- Market cap
- ₩2.2T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩118B | ₩332B | ₩411B | ₩537B | ₩642B | ₩731B | ₩793B | ₩817B |
| Growth | — | 182.5% | 23.9% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩6.1B | ₩14B | ₩1.6B | ₩2.7B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.7B | ₩4B | ₩4.1B |
| EBIT margin | −5.2% | 4.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩4.4B | ₩10B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.9B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.9B | ₩3B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩38B | ₩45B | ₩51B | ₩56B | ₩57B |
| − Capital spending | ₩6.2B | ₩30B | ₩49B | ₩47B | ₩56B | ₩64B | ₩69B | ₩71B |
| − Working capital | — | ₩12B | −₩3.4B | ₩27B | ₩27B | ₩23B | ₩16B | ₩6.1B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩35B | −₩35B | −₩33B | −₩26B | −₩17B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.928 | 0.861 | 0.799 | 0.742 | 0.689 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩32B | −₩30B | −₩26B | −₩20B | −₩12B |
Terminal value −₩123B, worth −₩85B today: 41% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩4,583 a share)Now 16.2× | ₩41,0208.95× | ₩60,60613.2× | ₩98,89721.6× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2023, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩2.2T
- Enterprise value
- ₩2.4T
- P/E
- 340.1×
- P/B
- 16.2×
- P/S
- 5.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩59,200 | ₩31,450 | ₩31,619 |
| Market cap | ₩1.8T | ₩950B | ₩955B |
| P/E | 2,324.8× | 90.4× | — |
| P/B | 13.5× | 7.8× | 10.1× |
| P/S | 4.3× | 2.9× | 8.1× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISU Specialty Chemical | 340.1× | 16.2× | 5.2× | — | 0.0% |
| LG Chem | — | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 0.9% |
| Hanwha Solutions | — | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanwha | 6.1× | 0.4× | 0.1× | — | 1.4% |
| SKC | — | 1.8× | 1.7× | — | 0.0% |
| KCC | 0.9× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 9.0× | 0.0% |
| Kumho Petro Chemical | 5.2× | 0.4× | 0.4× | — | 1.6% |
| Similar companies (median) | 5.2× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 9.0× | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: ISU Specialty Chemical / 이수스페셜티케미컬 / 457190 / KRX:457190
Source: KRX statistical information