Vect Robotics벡트로보틱스
457600 · KOSDAQ · ₩457600 · 벡트로보틱스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩31B
- Equity value
- −₩38B
- WACC
- 7.0%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩3,675, the model needs an operating margin of 13.4% every year (it uses −6.9%).
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−6.9%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-31.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-31.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-31.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-31.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-31.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -6.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 2 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 2 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 24.6%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 2 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 97 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.07, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩39B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩6.3B
- Shares
- 13,707,500
- Share price
- ₩3,675
- Market cap
- ₩50B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩65B | ₩45B | ₩35B | ₩33B | ₩31B | ₩31B | ₩32B |
| Growth | — | −31.1% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩1.3B | −₩3.4B | −₩2.4B | −₩2.2B | −₩2.2B | −₩2.2B | −₩2.2B |
| EBIT margin | −2.0% | −7.7% | −6.9% | −6.9% | −6.9% | −6.9% | −6.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩931M | −₩2.5B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.6B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | ₩174M | ₩163M | ₩157M | ₩157M | ₩161M |
| − Capital spending | ₩177M | ₩472M | ₩244M | ₩228M | ₩220M | ₩219M | ₩226M |
| − Working capital | — | −₩15B | −₩953M | −₩575M | −₩280M | −₩15M | ₩231M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | −₩861M | −₩1.1B | −₩1.4B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.9B |
| Discount factor | — | — | 0.934 | 0.873 | 0.816 | 0.762 | 0.712 |
| Present value | — | — | −₩805M | −₩976M | −₩1.1B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.4B |
Terminal value −₩36B, worth −₩26B today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩50B
- Enterprise value
- ₩57B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 3.1×
- P/S
- 1.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,505 | ₩4,085 |
| Market cap | ₩34B | ₩56B |
| P/E | — | — |
| P/B | 1.9× | 2.5× |
| P/S | 0.8× | 0.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vect Robotics | — | 3.1× | 1.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Electronics | 9.5× | 2.5× | 2.9× | — | 0.7% |
| LG Electronics | 25.3× | 1.0× | 0.3× | — | 0.8% |
| Hanwha Vision | 17.0× | 2.1× | 1.1× | — | 0.0% |
| RFHIC | 41.3× | 3.7× | 6.7× | — | 0.8% |
| KMW | — | 5.0× | 8.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Intellian Technologies | 13.4× | 2.0× | 1.6× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 17.0× | 2.3× | 2.3× | — | 0.5% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Vect Robotics / 벡트로보틱스 / 457600 / KRX:457600
Source: KRX statistical information