ALT알트
459550 · KOSDAQ · ₩459550 · 알트
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩4,921
vs the current price (₩1,625)
- Enterprise value
- ₩115B
- Equity value
- ₩124B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 203% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,625, the model needs an operating margin of 2.8% every year (it uses 7.9%).
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩2,888
- +77.7%
- Base
- ₩4,921
- +202.8%
- Bull
- ₩8,481
- +421.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (7.9%).
Revenue growth
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
Business
- 7.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 1 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 1 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 27.1%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 1 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 49 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.32, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩113B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩8.7B
- Shares
- 25,220,761
- Share price
- ₩1,625
- Market cap
- ₩41B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩113B | ₩116B | ₩120B | ₩123B | ₩127B | ₩131B |
| Growth | — | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩9B | ₩9.2B | ₩9.5B | ₩9.8B | ₩10B | ₩10B |
| EBIT margin | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩6.5B | ₩6.7B | ₩6.9B | ₩7.1B | ₩7.3B | ₩7.5B |
| + Depreciation | — | ₩349M | ₩359M | ₩370M | ₩381M | ₩393M |
| − Capital spending | ₩398M | ₩465M | ₩479M | ₩494M | ₩508M | ₩524M |
| − Working capital | — | ₩918M | ₩946M | ₩974M | ₩1B | ₩1B |
| Free cash flow | — | ₩5.6B | ₩5.8B | ₩6B | ₩6.2B | ₩6.3B |
| Discount factor | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | ₩5.2B | ₩5B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.6B | ₩4.5B |
Terminal value ₩130B, worth ₩91B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩5,281 | ₩5,604 | ₩6,000 | ₩6,500 | ₩7,148 |
| 6.8% | ₩4,844 | ₩5,098 | ₩5,405 | ₩5,781 | ₩6,254 |
| 7.3% | ₩4,477 | ₩4,680 | ₩4,921 | ₩5,211 | ₩5,568 |
| 7.8% | ₩4,163 | ₩4,329 | ₩4,521 | ₩4,749 | ₩5,024 |
| 8.3% | ₩3,893 | ₩4,029 | ₩4,185 | ₩4,367 | ₩4,583 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩41B
- Enterprise value
- ₩32B
- P/E
- 8.1×
- P/B
- 0.9×
- P/S
- 0.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | |
|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,750 |
| Market cap | ₩95B |
| P/E | 18.6× |
| P/B | 2.0× |
| P/S | 0.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALT | 8.1× | 0.9× | 0.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Electronics | 9.1× | 2.4× | 2.8× | — | 0.7% |
| LG Electronics | 24.3× | 0.9× | 0.3× | — | 0.9% |
| Hanwha Vision | 20.8× | 2.6× | 1.3× | — | 0.0% |
| RFHIC | 41.5× | 3.7× | 6.8× | — | 0.8% |
| KMW | — | 5.3× | 8.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Intellian Technologies | 13.9× | 2.1× | 1.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 20.8× | 2.5× | 2.2× | — | 0.5% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: ALT / 알트 / 459550 / KRX:459550
Source: KRX statistical information