Smcg에스엠씨지
460870 · KOSDAQ · ₩460870 · 에스엠씨지
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩2,928
vs the current price (₩2,770)
- Enterprise value
- ₩63B
- Equity value
- ₩59B
- WACC
- 7.1%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,534
- −44.6%
- Base
- ₩2,928
- +5.7%
- Bull
- ₩5,420
- +95.7%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (8.6%).
Revenue growth
- 2.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 8.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 2 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 3.9%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 2 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 31.4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 2 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 86 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.12, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩59B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩4.6B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩501M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 20,073,304
- Share price
- ₩2,770
- Market cap
- ₩56B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩55B | ₩56B | ₩60B | ₩62B | ₩63B | ₩65B | ₩67B |
| Growth | — | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩4.4B | ₩4.9B | ₩5.2B | ₩5.3B | ₩5.4B | ₩5.6B | ₩5.8B |
| EBIT margin | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3.2B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.8B | ₩3.8B | ₩3.9B | ₩4.1B | ₩4.2B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | ₩1.9B | ₩1.9B | ₩2B | ₩2B | ₩2.1B |
| − Capital spending | ₩2.6B | ₩1.7B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.6B |
| − Working capital | — | ₩11B | ₩407M | ₩453M | ₩503M | ₩556M | ₩612M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | ₩2.9B | ₩2.9B | ₩2.9B | ₩3B | ₩3B |
| Discount factor | — | — | 0.934 | 0.873 | 0.815 | 0.761 | 0.711 |
| Present value | — | — | ₩2.7B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.2B |
Terminal value ₩72B, worth ₩51B today: 81% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.1% | ₩3,196 | ₩3,430 | ₩3,721 | ₩4,094 | ₩4,586 |
| 6.6% | ₩2,878 | ₩3,060 | ₩3,281 | ₩3,556 | ₩3,907 |
| 7.1% | ₩2,612 | ₩2,756 | ₩2,928 | ₩3,136 | ₩3,395 |
| 7.6% | ₩2,388 | ₩2,503 | ₩2,638 | ₩2,800 | ₩2,996 |
| 8.1% | ₩2,195 | ₩2,289 | ₩2,397 | ₩2,524 | ₩2,675 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩56B
- Enterprise value
- ₩60B
- P/E
- 14.1×
- P/B
- 1.3×
- P/S
- 0.9×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | |
|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,775 |
| Market cap | ₩76B |
| P/E | 56.9× |
| P/B | 1.8× |
| P/S | 1.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% |
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Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smcg | 14.1× | 1.3× | 0.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Tokai Carbon Korea | 27.9× | 3.9× | 6.4× | — | 0.7% |
| Hanilcementco | 11.6× | 0.6× | 0.9× | — | 6.3% |
| Wonik QnC | 14.0× | 1.3× | 0.7× | — | 0.5% |
| Sampyo Cement | 16.4× | 0.7× | 0.8× | 5.9× | 2.2% |
| Hanil Holdings | 9.6× | 0.3× | 0.3× | — | 5.9% |
| IS Dongseo | 5.0× | 0.3× | 0.4× | — | 3.7% |
| Similar companies (median) | 12.8× | 0.7× | 0.8× | 5.9× | 2.9% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Smcg / 에스엠씨지 / 460870 / KRX:460870
Source: KRX statistical information