Hyundai Hyms

460930 · KOSDAQ · ₩460930 · 현대힘스

₩10,310▲ ₩160 (1.58%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩13,178

vs the current price (₩10,310)

Enterprise value
₩463B
Equity value
₩468B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩7,737
−25.0%
Base
₩13,178
+27.8%
Bull
₩22,304
+116.3%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (10.4%).

Revenue growth

  • 14.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (14.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 11.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (14.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (14.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (14.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (14.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 10.4%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 3 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 4.6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 5.7%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 3.8%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.38, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩265B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩5.1B
+ Stakes and investments
₩24M
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
35,510,671
Share price
₩10,310
Market cap
₩366B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩189B₩223B₩248B₩303B₩339B₩369B₩390B₩402B
Growth—18.0%11.2%14.5%11.7%8.8%5.9%3.0%
EBIT₩14B₩22B₩29B₩32B₩35B₩38B₩41B₩42B
EBIT margin7.6%9.7%11.6%10.4%10.4%10.4%10.4%10.4%
After-tax EBIT₩10B₩16B₩21B₩23B₩26B₩28B₩29B₩30B
+ Depreciation———₩14B₩16B₩17B₩18B₩18B
− Capital spending₩14B₩11B₩11B₩17B₩19B₩21B₩22B₩23B
− Working capital—−₩8B₩2.2B₩1.5B₩1.3B₩1.1B₩826M₩445M
Free cash flow———₩18B₩20B₩23B₩24B₩25B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8080.7520.700
Present value———₩17B₩18B₩18B₩18B₩18B

Terminal value ₩534B, worth ₩374B today: 81% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩7,421 a share)Now 1.39×₩12,8401.73×₩18,5572.50×₩24,6323.32×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩701 a share)Now 14.7×₩13,49019.2×₩25,98537.0×₩37,81853.9×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩982 a share)Now 10.5×₩18,87719.2×₩36,36137.0×₩52,91953.9×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2024, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩13,705₩14,858₩16,273₩18,052₩20,357
6.9%₩12,502₩13,438₩14,566₩15,951₩17,692
7.4%₩11,488₩12,261₩13,178₩14,282₩15,637
7.9%₩10,623₩11,270₩12,026₩12,923₩14,004
8.4%₩9,875₩10,423₩11,056₩11,797₩12,675

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩366B
Enterprise value
₩342B
P/E
14.7×
P/B
1.4×
P/S
1.4×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
1.3%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024
Price₩17,690₩13,430
Market cap₩628B₩477B
P/E29.4×28.8×
P/B2.5×2.0×
P/S2.5×2.1×
EV/EBITDA——
Dividend yield0.7%0.7%

Loading data for this company — check back soon

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Hyundai Hyms14.7×1.4×1.4×—1.3%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries11.9×2.8×1.4×—2.0%
Hanwha Ocean7.8×2.1×1.1×—0.0%
Samsung Heavy Industries25.7×3.0×1.3×—0.0%
Daehan Shipbuilding4.7×1.2×1.1×—0.7%
Sejin Heavy Industries6.6×1.7×1.1×—3.0%
Inhwa Precision12.6×0.9×2.8×16.0×2.2%
Similar companies (median)9.8×1.9×1.2×16.0×1.3%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Hyundai Hyms / 현대힘스 / 460930 / KRX:460930

Source: KRX statistical information