Innospace이노스페이스
462350 · KOSDAQ · ₩462350 · 이노스페이스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩5.5T
- Equity value
- −₩5.4T
- WACC
- 8.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- No operating margin up to 90% gets the model to today's price at these growth assumptions.
- Margins ranged from −223,717.9% to −2,630.5% over the last 3 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).
Revenue growth
- 25%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (244.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 19.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (244.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (244.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (244.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (244.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -20%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 3 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 25,234.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 31,543.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.77
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.65, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩5.9B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩63B
- Shares
- 34,807,168
- Share price
- ₩4,975
- Market cap
- ₩173B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩231M | ₩15M | ₩2.7B | ₩7.4B | ₩8.8B | ₩10B | ₩11B | ₩11B |
| Growth | — | −93.6% | 18,573.4% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩16B | −₩33B | −₩72B | −₩1.5B | −₩1.8B | −₩2B | −₩2.2B | −₩2.3B |
| EBIT margin | −6,883.1% | −223,717.9% | −2,630.5% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩12B | −₩24B | −₩52B | −₩1.1B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.5B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.6B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩1.9T | ₩2.2T | ₩2.5T | ₩2.8T | ₩2.8T |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.1B | ₩14B | ₩23B | ₩2.3T | ₩2.8T | ₩3.2T | ₩3.5T | ₩3.6T |
| − Working capital | — | ₩4.2B | −₩8.1B | ₩592M | ₩578M | ₩496M | ₩343M | ₩131M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩469B | −₩560B | −₩638B | −₩692B | −₩713B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.923 | 0.852 | 0.787 | 0.726 | 0.671 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩433B | −₩477B | −₩502B | −₩503B | −₩478B |
Terminal value −₩4.6T, worth −₩3.1T today: 56% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3,050 a share)Now 1.63× | ₩5,9901.96× | ₩17,1175.61× | ₩35,12611.5× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2024, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩173B
- Enterprise value
- ₩106B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 1.6×
- P/S
- 29.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩9,430 | ₩8,033 |
| Market cap | ₩328B | ₩280B |
| P/E | — | — |
| P/B | 6.3× | 6.3× |
| P/S | 119.5× | 19,010.0× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — |
Loading data for this company — check back soon
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Innospace | — | 1.6× | 29.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanwha Aerospace | 19.4× | 3.3× | 1.3× | — | 0.9% |
| Korea Aerospace Industries | 55.2× | 5.2× | 2.2× | — | 0.5% |
| LIG Defense&Aerospace | 32.8× | 5.9× | 2.0× | — | 0.7% |
| Satrec Initiative | 66.8× | 2.5× | 3.0× | 39.6× | 0.2% |
| Firstec | 16.8× | 2.8× | 0.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Samyang Comtech | 8.3× | 1.4× | 1.5× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 26.1× | 3.0× | 1.8× | 39.6× | 0.3% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Innospace / 이노스페이스 / 462350 / KRX:462350
Source: KRX statistical information