Dozn더즌
462860 · KOSDAQ · ₩462860 · 더즌
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩5,183
vs the current price (₩2,170)
- Enterprise value
- ₩206B
- Equity value
- ₩372B
- WACC
- 7.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 139% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,170, the model needs an operating margin of −1.1% every year (it uses 24.1%).
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩4,252
- +95.9%
- Base
- ₩5,183
- +138.9%
- Bull
- ₩6,675
- +207.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (24.1%).
Revenue growth
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
Business
- 24.1%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 1 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 1 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 1 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.63
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 83 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.45, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩61B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩160B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩5.7B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩239M
- Shares
- 71,768,103
- Share price
- ₩2,170
- Market cap
- ₩156B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩60B | ₩62B | ₩64B | ₩66B | ₩68B | ₩70B |
| Growth | — | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩17B |
| EBIT margin | 22.7% | 24.1% | 24.1% | 24.1% | 24.1% | 24.1% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩9.9B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩12B |
| + Depreciation | — | ₩1.1B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.3B |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.3B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B |
| − Working capital | — | −₩182M | −₩187M | −₩193M | −₩199M | −₩205M |
| Free cash flow | — | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩12B |
| Discount factor | — | 0.930 | 0.866 | 0.806 | 0.750 | 0.697 |
| Present value | — | ₩10B | ₩9.7B | ₩9.3B | ₩8.9B | ₩8.5B |
Terminal value ₩229B, worth ₩160B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5% | ₩5,272 | ₩5,523 | ₩5,830 | ₩6,214 | ₩6,710 |
| 7.0% | ₩5,022 | ₩5,227 | ₩5,474 | ₩5,776 | ₩6,155 |
| 7.5% | ₩4,810 | ₩4,981 | ₩5,183 | ₩5,426 | ₩5,724 |
| 8.0% | ₩4,629 | ₩4,773 | ₩4,941 | ₩5,140 | ₩5,380 |
| 8.5% | ₩4,472 | ₩4,595 | ₩4,737 | ₩4,902 | ₩5,098 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩156B
- Enterprise value
- −₩4.9B
- P/E
- 13.3×
- P/B
- 2.1×
- P/S
- 2.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.4%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | |
|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,780 |
| Market cap | ₩271B |
| P/E | 24.6× |
| P/B | 3.7× |
| P/S | 4.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.8% |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dozn | 13.3× | 2.1× | 2.6× | — | 1.4% |
| SK Telecom | 22.0× | 1.1× | 1.0× | 4.9× | 2.2% |
| KT | 8.9× | 0.6× | 0.4× | — | 5.2% |
| LG Uplus | 11.1× | 0.7× | 0.4× | 2.8× | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Futurenet | 36.7× | 0.5× | 1.2× | — | 4.9% |
| NICE Information & Telecommunication | 5.7× | 0.8× | 0.3× | 1.8× | 3.1% |
| Korea Information & Communication | 8.0× | 0.8× | 0.3× | 2.1× | 3.8% |
| Similar companies (median) | 10.0× | 0.7× | 0.4× | 2.5× | 3.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Dozn / 더즌 / 462860 / KRX:462860
Source: KRX statistical information