Inspien인스피언
465480 · KOSDAQ · ₩465480 · 인스피언
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩5,981
vs the current price (₩3,270)
- Enterprise value
- ₩37B
- Equity value
- ₩61B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 83% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩3,270, the model needs an operating margin of 7.3% every year (it uses 17.5%).
- Or revenue growth −27.8 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- 67% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- The group includes a financial business (an insurer, bank or broker), whose investments and minority shareholders are left out here. A sum-of-the-parts view usually fits groups like this better.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩4,605
- +40.8%
- Base
- ₩5,981
- +82.9%
- Bull
- ₩8,266
- +152.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (17.5%).
Revenue growth
- -0%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (0% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (0% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (0% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (0% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (0% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 17.5%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 2 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 19.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 24%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 2 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 4.5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 2 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.3, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩20B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩24B
- Shares
- 10,137,772
- Share price
- ₩3,270
- Market cap
- ₩33B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩19B | ₩19B | ₩20B | ₩20B | ₩20B | ₩21B | ₩22B |
| Growth | — | −0.0% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩3.8B | ₩2.4B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.8B |
| EBIT margin | 19.9% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 17.5% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩2.7B | ₩1.7B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.7B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | ₩3.9B | ₩3.9B | ₩3.9B | ₩4B | ₩4.1B |
| − Capital spending | ₩125M | ₩9B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.9B | ₩5B | ₩5.2B |
| − Working capital | — | ₩1.1B | ₩0 | ₩6.3M | ₩14M | ₩20M | ₩28M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | ₩1.6B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.7B |
| Discount factor | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | ₩1.5B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B |
Terminal value ₩44B, worth ₩31B today: 82% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩6,126 | ₩6,457 | ₩6,865 | ₩7,378 | ₩8,042 |
| 6.9% | ₩5,783 | ₩6,052 | ₩6,377 | ₩6,777 | ₩7,279 |
| 7.4% | ₩5,494 | ₩5,717 | ₩5,981 | ₩6,299 | ₩6,690 |
| 7.9% | ₩5,248 | ₩5,434 | ₩5,653 | ₩5,911 | ₩6,223 |
| 8.4% | ₩5,035 | ₩5,193 | ₩5,376 | ₩5,590 | ₩5,843 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩33B
- Enterprise value
- ₩9.6B
- P/E
- 3.8×
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 1.7×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 3.1%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩5,290 | ₩7,600 |
| Market cap | ₩54B | ₩77B |
| P/E | 16.9× | 18.3× |
| P/B | 1.0× | 1.5× |
| P/S | 2.8× | 4.0× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.9% | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inspien | 3.8× | 0.6× | 1.7× | — | 3.1% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 47.8× | 4.8× | 2.0× | — | 0.6% |
| Krafton | 10.0× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 7.0× | 1.2× | 2.1× | 8.4× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.1× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 8.0× | 2.1× | 3.0× | 5.2× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 9.0× | 1.8× | 7.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.5× | 1.5× | 2.0× | 6.8× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Inspien / 인스피언 / 465480 / KRX:465480
Source: KRX statistical information