Ivisionworks아이비젼웍스
469750 · KOSDAQ · ₩469750 · 아이비젼웍스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩1,481
vs the current price (₩5,550)
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.3B
- Equity value
- ₩10B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 73% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩5,550, the model needs an operating margin of 13.2% every year (it uses 1.9%).
- 88% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,053
- −81.0%
- Base
- ₩1,481
- −73.3%
- Bull
- ₩2,380
- −57.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (1.9%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-34.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-34.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-34.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-34.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-34.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 1.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 2 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 6.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 7.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 2 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 33.6%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 2 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.19, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩24B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩8.6B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩300M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 6,891,296
- Share price
- ₩5,550
- Market cap
- ₩38B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩35B | ₩23B | ₩21B | ₩20B | ₩19B | ₩19B | ₩20B |
| Growth | — | −34.6% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩2.4B | −₩391M | ₩406M | ₩379M | ₩366M | ₩365M | ₩376M |
| EBIT margin | 6.8% | −1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩1.7B | −₩283M | ₩295M | ₩275M | ₩265M | ₩265M | ₩273M |
| + Depreciation | — | — | ₩1.3B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B |
| − Capital spending | ₩3.5B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B |
| − Working capital | — | ₩1.1B | −₩799M | −₩482M | −₩235M | −₩13M | ₩194M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | ₩751M | ₩437M | ₩192M | −₩30M | −₩238M |
| Discount factor | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | ₩699M | ₩379M | ₩155M | −₩22M | −₩166M |
Terminal value ₩357M, worth ₩249M today: 19% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩5,249 a share)Now 1.06× | ₩4,4930.86× | ₩5,3061.01× | ₩6,8191.30× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2024, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩1,616 | ₩1,561 | ₩1,493 | ₩1,406 | ₩1,293 |
| 6.9% | ₩1,597 | ₩1,547 | ₩1,486 | ₩1,411 | ₩1,315 |
| 7.4% | ₩1,581 | ₩1,536 | ₩1,481 | ₩1,414 | ₩1,332 |
| 7.9% | ₩1,568 | ₩1,526 | ₩1,476 | ₩1,417 | ₩1,345 |
| 8.4% | ₩1,556 | ₩1,518 | ₩1,472 | ₩1,419 | ₩1,355 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩38B
- Enterprise value
- ₩30B
- P/E
- 42.0×
- P/B
- 1.1×
- P/S
- 1.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩6,370 | ₩5,225 |
| Market cap | ₩44B | ₩36B |
| P/E | — | — |
| P/B | 1.2× | 1.0× |
| P/S | 1.9× | 1.0× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivisionworks | 42.0× | 1.1× | 1.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 217.2× | 4.8× | 2.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 87.4× | 26.0× | 35.2× | 78.7× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,189.7× | 14.6× | 38.2× | 2,291.7× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,610.6× | 59.1× | 174.0× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 47.5× | 6.9× | 11.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Wonik IPS | 28.2× | 4.5× | 5.3× | 42.7× | 0.2% |
| Similar companies (median) | 152.3× | 10.7× | 23.4× | 78.7× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Ivisionworks / 아이비젼웍스 / 469750 / KRX:469750
Source: KRX statistical information