Orum Therapeutics

475830 · KOSDAQ · ₩475830 · 오름테라퓨틱

₩16,070▼ ₩40 (0.25%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩3,611

vs the current price (₩16,070)

Enterprise value
−₩82M
Equity value
₩79B
WACC
7.8%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 78% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • No operating margin up to 90% gets the model to today's price at these growth assumptions.
  • 100% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩3,612
−77.5%
Base
₩3,611
−77.5%
Bull
₩3,610
−77.5%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-99.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-99.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-99.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-99.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-99.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -20%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 2 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 3%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.

  • 4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 2 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.67

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 89 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.5, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩41M
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩79B
Shares
21,752,916
Share price
₩16,070
Market cap
₩350B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩21B₩24M₩36M₩34M₩33M₩33M₩34M
Growth—−99.9%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT−₩8.3B−₩52B−₩7.3M−₩6.8M−₩6.6M−₩6.6M−₩6.8M
EBIT margin−39.9%−219,651.4%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%
After-tax EBIT−₩6B−₩38B−₩5.3M−₩4.9M−₩4.8M−₩4.8M−₩4.9M
+ Depreciation——₩1.1M₩1M₩985,820₩983,848₩1M
− Capital spending——₩1.5M₩1.4M₩1.3M₩1.3M₩1.4M
− Working capital—₩56B−₩1.6M−₩978,143−₩476,735−₩26,289₩393,539
Free cash flow——−₩4M−₩4.3M−₩4.6M−₩5.1M−₩5.6M
Discount factor——0.9280.8610.7980.7410.687
Present value——−₩3.7M−₩3.7M−₩3.7M−₩3.7M−₩3.9M

Terminal value −₩93M, worth −₩64M today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.8%₩3,611₩3,611₩3,611₩3,610₩3,610
7.3%₩3,612₩3,611₩3,611₩3,611₩3,610
7.8%₩3,612₩3,612₩3,611₩3,611₩3,611
8.3%₩3,612₩3,612₩3,612₩3,612₩3,611
8.8%₩3,612₩3,612₩3,612₩3,612₩3,612

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩350B
Enterprise value
₩244B
P/E
18.9×
P/B
1.9×
P/S
8,620.0×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

2025
Price₩120,000
Market cap₩2.6T
P/E—
P/B19.9×
P/S110,775.9×
EV/EBITDA—
Dividend yield0.0%

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Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Orum Therapeutics18.9×1.9×8,620.0×—0.0%
Samsung Biologics32.1×7.6×14.0×—0.0%
Celltrion27.8×2.4×8.9×—0.0%
Alteogen78.8×28.4×59.9×—0.1%
Yuhan24.8×2.5×2.6×32.5×0.8%
SK biopharmaceuticals14.6×5.7×6.8×—0.0%
HLB—15.4×54.6×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)27.8×6.7×11.5×32.5×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Orum Therapeutics / 오름테라퓨틱 / 475830 / KRX:475830

Source: KRX statistical information