Winners Elec위너스일렉
479960 · KOSDAQ · ₩479960 · 위너스일렉
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩12,943
vs the current price (₩5,340)
- Enterprise value
- ₩82B
- Equity value
- ₩92B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 142% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩5,340, the model needs an operating margin of 5.9% every year (it uses 14.3%).
- Or revenue growth −28.3 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩8,682
- +62.6%
- Base
- ₩12,943
- +142.4%
- Bull
- ₩20,029
- +275.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (14.3%).
Revenue growth
- 18.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (18.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 14.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (18.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 10.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (18.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (18.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (18.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 14.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 2 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 2 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 24.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 2 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 87 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.34, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩32B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩10B
- Shares
- 7,126,000
- Share price
- ₩5,340
- Market cap
- ₩38B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩26B | ₩31B | ₩38B | ₩44B | ₩48B | ₩52B | ₩53B |
| Growth | — | 18.5% | 18.5% | 14.7% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩2.9B | ₩5.3B | ₩5.5B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.9B | ₩7.4B | ₩7.6B |
| EBIT margin | 11.1% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 14.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩2.1B | ₩3.8B | ₩4B | ₩4.5B | ₩5B | ₩5.4B | ₩5.5B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | ₩801M | ₩919M | ₩1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B |
| − Capital spending | ₩367M | ₩1.2B | ₩991M | ₩1.1B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.4B |
| − Working capital | — | ₩8.1B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.2B | ₩833M | ₩387M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | ₩2.3B | ₩2.9B | ₩3.6B | ₩4.3B | ₩4.9B |
| Discount factor | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | ₩2.1B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.9B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.4B |
Terminal value ₩97B, worth ₩68B today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩13,619 | ₩14,568 | ₩15,730 | ₩17,189 | ₩19,073 |
| 6.9% | ₩12,513 | ₩13,276 | ₩14,194 | ₩15,319 | ₩16,729 |
| 7.4% | ₩11,581 | ₩12,205 | ₩12,943 | ₩13,831 | ₩14,918 |
| 7.9% | ₩10,785 | ₩11,302 | ₩11,906 | ₩12,620 | ₩13,478 |
| 8.4% | ₩10,097 | ₩10,531 | ₩11,031 | ₩11,614 | ₩12,305 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩38B
- Enterprise value
- ₩25B
- P/E
- 9.2×
- P/B
- 0.9×
- P/S
- 1.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 9.4%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | |
|---|---|
| Price | ₩10,450 |
| Market cap | ₩74B |
| P/E | 16.0× |
| P/B | 1.8× |
| P/S | 2.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | — |
| Dividend yield | 4.8% |
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Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winners Elec | 9.2× | 0.9× | 1.2× | — | 9.4% |
| LS Electric | 61.0× | 11.1× | 4.2× | 37.7× | 0.0% |
| Hyosung Heavy Industries | 30.5× | 6.9× | 2.8× | — | 0.4% |
| HD Hyundai Electric | 19.1× | 7.2× | 3.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Gaon Cable | 106.8× | 12.9× | 2.4× | 55.6× | 0.0% |
| Sanil Electric | 27.2× | 7.4× | 8.3× | — | 0.8% |
| Taihan Cable & Solution | — | 2.2× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 30.5× | 7.3× | 3.3× | 46.7× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Winners Elec / 위너스일렉 / 479960 / KRX:479960
Source: KRX statistical information