Dowooinsys도우인시스
484120 · KOSDAQ · ₩484120 · 도우인시스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩12,569
vs the current price (₩23,600)
- Enterprise value
- ₩80B
- Equity value
- ₩138B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 47% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩23,600, the model needs an operating margin of 10.3% every year (it uses 5.0%).
- Or revenue growth +20.6 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- 65% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩7,387
- −68.7%
- Base
- ₩12,569
- −46.7%
- Bull
- ₩21,722
- −8.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.0%).
Revenue growth
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
Business
- 5%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 1 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 8.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 10.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 1 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -4.6%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 1 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 66 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.11, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩156B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩57B
- Shares
- 10,957,422
- Share price
- ₩23,600
- Market cap
- ₩259B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩140B | ₩160B | ₩165B | ₩170B | ₩175B | ₩180B |
| Growth | — | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩3.4B | ₩8B | ₩8.3B | ₩8.5B | ₩8.8B | ₩9B |
| EBIT margin | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩2.5B | ₩5.8B | ₩6B | ₩6.2B | ₩6.4B | ₩6.5B |
| + Depreciation | — | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩15B | ₩16B |
| − Capital spending | ₩15B | ₩17B | ₩18B | ₩18B | ₩19B | ₩19B |
| − Working capital | — | −₩215M | −₩221M | −₩228M | −₩235M | −₩242M |
| Free cash flow | — | ₩2.5B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.8B |
| Discount factor | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | ₩2.3B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.1B | ₩2B |
Terminal value ₩99B, worth ₩70B today: 87% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩12,730 | ₩13,499 | ₩14,447 | ₩15,645 | ₩17,207 |
| 6.8% | ₩12,020 | ₩12,649 | ₩13,410 | ₩14,347 | ₩15,532 |
| 7.3% | ₩11,424 | ₩11,947 | ₩12,569 | ₩13,321 | ₩14,249 |
| 7.8% | ₩10,917 | ₩11,358 | ₩11,875 | ₩12,491 | ₩13,234 |
| 8.3% | ₩10,481 | ₩10,857 | ₩11,293 | ₩11,805 | ₩12,413 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩259B
- Enterprise value
- ₩201B
- P/E
- 10.5×
- P/B
- 1.4×
- P/S
- 1.7×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | |
|---|---|
| Price | ₩26,000 |
| Market cap | ₩285B |
| P/E | 581.0× |
| P/B | 1.7× |
| P/S | 2.0× |
| EV/EBITDA | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dowooinsys | 10.5× | 1.4× | 1.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 88.7× | 8.7× | 7.2× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 34.5× | 4.9× | 0.6× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 65.1× | 2.5× | 2.8× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 11.6× | 1.2× | 0.3× | — | 0.6% |
| Isupetasys | 30.8× | 7.2× | 4.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 38.8× | 6.0× | 4.4× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 36.6× | 5.5× | 3.6× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Dowooinsys / 도우인시스 / 484120 / KRX:484120
Source: KRX statistical information