Samyang Comtech삼양컴텍
484590 · KOSDAQ · ₩484590 · 삼양컴텍
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩8,303
vs the current price (₩5,420)
- Enterprise value
- ₩344B
- Equity value
- ₩342B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 53% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩5,420, the model needs an operating margin of 12.1% every year (it uses 17.4%).
- Or revenue growth −11.6 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- 32% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩5,459
- +0.7%
- Base
- ₩8,303
- +53.2%
- Bull
- ₩13,089
- +141.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (17.4%).
Revenue growth
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
Business
- 17.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 1 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 5.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 1 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 1 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 62 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.33, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩152B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩1.4B
- Shares
- 41,210,450
- Share price
- ₩5,420
- Market cap
- ₩223B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩155B | ₩157B | ₩162B | ₩167B | ₩172B | ₩177B |
| Growth | — | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩27B | ₩27B | ₩28B | ₩29B | ₩30B | ₩31B |
| EBIT margin | 17.2% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 17.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩19B | ₩20B | ₩20B | ₩21B | ₩22B | ₩22B |
| + Depreciation | — | ₩6.8B | ₩7B | ₩7.2B | ₩7.4B | ₩7.6B |
| − Capital spending | ₩8.2B | ₩8.3B | ₩8.6B | ₩8.8B | ₩9.1B | ₩9.4B |
| − Working capital | — | ₩1.8B | ₩1.9B | ₩1.9B | ₩2B | ₩2.1B |
| Free cash flow | — | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩17B | ₩18B | ₩18B |
| Discount factor | — | 0.932 | 0.869 | 0.810 | 0.755 | 0.704 |
| Present value | — | ₩15B | ₩15B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩13B |
Terminal value ₩388B, worth ₩273B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩8,842 | ₩9,490 | ₩10,288 | ₩11,295 | ₩12,606 |
| 6.8% | ₩8,052 | ₩8,568 | ₩9,191 | ₩9,958 | ₩10,926 |
| 7.3% | ₩7,388 | ₩7,807 | ₩8,303 | ₩8,902 | ₩9,639 |
| 7.8% | ₩6,823 | ₩7,167 | ₩7,568 | ₩8,045 | ₩8,620 |
| 8.3% | ₩6,336 | ₩6,621 | ₩6,951 | ₩7,337 | ₩7,795 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩223B
- Enterprise value
- ₩224B
- P/E
- 7.8×
- P/B
- 1.3×
- P/S
- 1.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | |
|---|---|
| Price | ₩12,800 |
| Market cap | ₩527B |
| P/E | 23.3× |
| P/B | 3.4× |
| P/S | 3.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samyang Comtech | 7.8× | 1.3× | 1.5× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanwha Aerospace | 17.8× | 3.0× | 1.2× | — | 1.0% |
| Korea Aerospace Industries | 53.8× | 5.0× | 2.2× | — | 0.5% |
| LIG Defense&Aerospace | 31.9× | 5.7× | 1.9× | — | 0.7% |
| Satrec Initiative | 65.0× | 2.5× | 2.9× | 38.5× | 0.2% |
| Firstec | 16.4× | 2.7× | 0.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Vitzro Nextech | — | 4.1× | 5.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 31.9× | 3.5× | 2.0× | 38.5× | 0.3% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Samyang Comtech / 삼양컴텍 / 484590 / KRX:484590
Source: KRX statistical information