SemiFive세미파이브
490470 · KOSDAQ · ₩490470 · 세미파이브
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩279B
- Equity value
- −₩257B
- WACC
- 9.1%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩14,230, the model needs an operating margin of 36.2% every year (it uses −20.0%).
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).
Revenue growth
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
Business
- -20%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 1 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 1 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 29.1%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 1 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.91
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 43 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.87, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩121B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩22B
- Shares
- 34,025,440
- Share price
- ₩14,230
- Market cap
- ₩484B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩121B | ₩125B | ₩128B | ₩132B | ₩136B | ₩140B |
| Growth | — | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩53B | −₩25B | −₩26B | −₩26B | −₩27B | −₩28B |
| EBIT margin | −44.1% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩39B | −₩18B | −₩19B | −₩19B | −₩20B | −₩20B |
| + Depreciation | — | ₩1.7B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.9B | ₩1.9B | ₩2B |
| − Capital spending | ₩2.2B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.5B |
| − Working capital | — | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B |
| Free cash flow | — | −₩20B | −₩20B | −₩21B | −₩21B | −₩22B |
| Discount factor | — | 0.917 | 0.840 | 0.770 | 0.706 | 0.647 |
| Present value | — | −₩18B | −₩17B | −₩16B | −₩15B | −₩14B |
Terminal value −₩307B, worth −₩199B today: 71% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩484B
- Enterprise value
- ₩452B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 2.2×
- P/S
- 4.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | |
|---|---|
| Price | ₩26,500 |
| Market cap | ₩902B |
| P/E | — |
| P/B | 4.1× |
| P/S | 7.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SemiFive | — | 2.2× | 4.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung E&A | 19.0× | 2.5× | 1.3× | — | 1.2% |
| HD Hyundai Marine Solution | 23.4× | 8.8× | 3.6× | — | 2.3% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction | 102.2× | 6.2× | 6.9× | 50.8× | 1.4% |
| POSCO DX | 94.1× | 5.3× | 3.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanyang ENG | 7.7× | 0.7× | 0.4× | 3.8× | 0.0% |
| Korea Electronic Power Industrial Development | 69.7× | 3.1× | 0.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 46.6× | 4.2× | 2.2× | 27.3× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: SemiFive / 세미파이브 / 490470 / KRX:490470
Source: KRX statistical information