IMBiologics아이엠바이오로직스
493280 · KOSDAQ · ₩493280 · 아이엠바이오로직스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩8,411
vs the current price (₩13,160)
- Enterprise value
- ₩3B
- Equity value
- ₩125B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 36% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩13,160, the model needs an operating margin of 44.3% every year (it uses 2.6%).
- 75% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩8,193
- −37.7%
- Base
- ₩8,411
- −36.1%
- Bull
- ₩8,813
- −33.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.6%).
Revenue growth
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
Business
- 2.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 1 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 4.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 1 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 6.6%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 1 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 32 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.3, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩12B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩122B
- Shares
- 14,845,961
- Share price
- ₩13,160
- Market cap
- ₩195B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩13B |
| Growth | — | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩298M | ₩311M | ₩320M | ₩330M | ₩340M | ₩350M |
| EBIT margin | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩216M | ₩226M | ₩232M | ₩239M | ₩247M | ₩254M |
| + Depreciation | — | ₩419M | ₩431M | ₩444M | ₩458M | ₩471M |
| − Capital spending | ₩502M | ₩515M | ₩530M | ₩546M | ₩562M | ₩579M |
| − Working capital | — | ₩23M | ₩24M | ₩24M | ₩25M | ₩26M |
| Free cash flow | — | ₩107M | ₩110M | ₩113M | ₩117M | ₩120M |
| Discount factor | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | ₩100M | ₩96M | ₩92M | ₩88M | ₩85M |
Terminal value ₩3.6B, worth ₩2.6B today: 85% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩8,427 | ₩8,442 | ₩8,462 | ₩8,486 | ₩8,518 |
| 6.8% | ₩8,406 | ₩8,419 | ₩8,434 | ₩8,452 | ₩8,476 |
| 7.3% | ₩8,389 | ₩8,399 | ₩8,411 | ₩8,425 | ₩8,443 |
| 7.8% | ₩8,374 | ₩8,383 | ₩8,392 | ₩8,403 | ₩8,417 |
| 8.3% | ₩8,362 | ₩8,369 | ₩8,376 | ₩8,385 | ₩8,396 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩195B
- Enterprise value
- ₩73B
- P/E
- 222.8×
- P/B
- 1.5×
- P/S
- 16.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
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Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMBiologics | 222.8× | 1.5× | 16.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Biologics | 34.7× | 8.2× | 15.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Celltrion | 28.2× | 2.5× | 9.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Alteogen | 76.3× | 27.5× | 58.0× | — | 0.1% |
| SK biopharmaceuticals | 15.2× | 6.0× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Yuhan | 23.3× | 2.3× | 2.4× | 30.4× | 0.8% |
| HLB | — | 15.5× | 54.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 28.2× | 7.1× | 12.1× | 30.4× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: IMBiologics / 아이엠바이오로직스 / 493280 / KRX:493280
Source: KRX statistical information