Global SM Tech글로벌에스엠
900070 · KOSDAQ · ₩900070 · 글로벌에스엠
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
This is a holding company, but we don't have its stakes in listed companies yet, so we use a discounted cash flow for now.
Fair value per share
₩2
vs the current price (₩1,050)
- Enterprise value
- ₩55M
- Equity value
- ₩63M
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 100% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- No operating margin up to 90% gets the model to today's price at these growth assumptions.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩2
- −99.9%
- Base
- ₩2
- −99.8%
- Bull
- ₩4
- −99.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.9%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-48% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-48% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-48% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-48% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-48% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 5.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 4.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 39.4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.3, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩94M
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩23M
- − Minority interests
- ₩15M
- Shares
- 26,871,984
- Share price
- ₩1,050
- Market cap
- ₩28B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩602M | ₩90M | ₩91M | ₩85M | ₩79M | ₩76M | ₩76M | ₩79M |
| Growth | −6.8% | −85.0% | 0.7% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩20M | ₩4.1M | ₩5.8M | ₩5M | ₩4.7M | ₩4.5M | ₩4.5M | ₩4.6M |
| EBIT margin | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩14M | ₩3M | ₩4.2M | ₩3.6M | ₩3.4M | ₩3.3M | ₩3.3M | ₩3.4M |
| + Depreciation | ₩37M | ₩5.4M | ₩5.4M | ₩5.1M | ₩4.8M | ₩4.6M | ₩4.6M | ₩4.7M |
| − Capital spending | ₩26M | ₩3.3M | ₩4.1M | ₩3.6M | ₩3.3M | ₩3.2M | ₩3.2M | ₩3.3M |
| − Working capital | −₩34M | −₩211M | ₩6.2M | −₩3.7M | −₩2.2M | −₩1.1M | −₩60,218 | ₩901,468 |
| Free cash flow | ₩59M | ₩216M | −₩658,084 | ₩8.9M | ₩7.1M | ₩5.7M | ₩4.7M | ₩3.9M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩8.3M | ₩6.1M | ₩4.6M | ₩3.5M | ₩2.7M |
Terminal value ₩43M, worth ₩30M today: 54% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3 a share)Now 332.3× | ₩17154.2× | ₩362114.4× | ₩1,042329.8× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩3 | ₩3 | ₩3 | ₩3 | ₩3 |
| 6.9% | ₩2 | ₩2 | ₩3 | ₩3 | ₩3 |
| 7.4% | ₩2 | ₩2 | ₩2 | ₩2 | ₩2 |
| 7.9% | ₩2 | ₩2 | ₩2 | ₩2 | ₩2 |
| 8.4% | ₩2 | ₩2 | ₩2 | ₩2 | ₩2 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩28B
- Enterprise value
- ₩28B
- P/E
- 16,005.9×
- P/B
- 332.3×
- P/S
- 299.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- 2,530.4×
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩844 | ₩812 | ₩1,098 | ₩1,420 | ₩2,000 |
| Market cap | ₩23B | ₩22B | ₩30B | ₩38B | ₩54B |
| P/E | 5,217.0× | 55,702.9× | 2,523.0× | 1,217.3× | 10,487.6× |
| P/B | 266.6× | 278.7× | 52.9× | 71.1× | 107.9× |
| P/S | 249.4× | 241.5× | 49.0× | 59.1× | 80.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | 2,014.7× | 2,291.3× | 523.1× | 494.7× | 622.9× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global SM Tech | 16,005.9× | 332.3× | 299.2× | 2,530.4× | 0.0% |
| SK Square | 3.3× | 2.0× | 88.7× | 3.2× | 0.0% |
| KB Financial Group | 8.3× | 0.9× | — | 9.3× | 3.0% |
| Shinhan Financial Group | 7.5× | 0.7× | — | 10.0× | 3.0% |
| SK | 4.5× | 1.0× | 0.3× | — | 1.6% |
| Hana Financial Group | 7.5× | 0.7× | — | 9.8× | 3.6% |
| Woori Financial Group | 6.7× | 0.5× | — | 8.2× | 4.7% |
| Similar companies (median) | 7.1× | 0.8× | 44.5× | 9.3× | 3.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Global SM Tech / 글로벌에스엠 / 900070 / KRX:900070
Source: KRX statistical information