Lvmc Holdings엘브이엠씨홀딩스
900140 · KOSPI · ₩900140 · 엘브이엠씨홀딩스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- ₩8M
- Equity value
- −₩36M
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- No operating margin up to 90% gets the model to today's price at these growth assumptions.
- Margins ranged from −7.1% to 9.8% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- The group includes a financial business (an insurer, bank or broker), whose investments and minority shareholders are left out here. A sum-of-the-parts view usually fits groups like this better.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- ₩0
- −100.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (0.9%).
Revenue growth
- 12.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 10.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 7.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 0.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 5.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 34.5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.28, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩295M
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩44M
- Shares
- 193,240,432
- Share price
- ₩1,017
- Market cap
- ₩197B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩200M | ₩217M | ₩276M | ₩332M | ₩367M | ₩396M | ₩417M | ₩429M |
| Growth | 3.4% | 8.7% | 27.5% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩12M | ₩12M | ₩27M | ₩3M | ₩3.3M | ₩3.6M | ₩3.8M | ₩3.9M |
| EBIT margin | −6.0% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩8.7M | ₩8.7M | ₩20M | ₩2.2M | ₩2.4M | ₩2.6M | ₩2.7M | ₩2.8M |
| + Depreciation | ₩13M | ₩12M | ₩12M | ₩18M | ₩20M | ₩22M | ₩23M | ₩24M |
| − Capital spending | ₩2.5M | ₩2.3M | ₩1.8M | ₩3.3M | ₩3.7M | ₩4M | ₩4.2M | ₩4.3M |
| − Working capital | −₩14M | ₩12M | ₩2.4M | ₩13M | ₩12M | ₩10M | ₩7.4M | ₩4.3M |
| Free cash flow | ₩16M | ₩6.2M | ₩28M | ₩4.2M | ₩7.1M | ₩10M | ₩14M | ₩18M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩3.9M | ₩6.1M | ₩8.4M | ₩11M | ₩12M |
Terminal value −₩48M, worth −₩33M today: -417% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩2 a share)Now 546.6× | ₩1,513813.2× | ₩2,1101133.9× | ₩2,8151513.2× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩197B
- Enterprise value
- ₩197B
- P/E
- 13,486.2×
- P/B
- 546.6×
- P/S
- 666.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- 3,798.0×
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,600 | ₩1,603 | ₩2,525 | ₩1,775 | ₩2,456 |
| Market cap | ₩309B | ₩310B | ₩488B | ₩343B | ₩475B |
| P/E | 139,927.5× | 354,025.8× | — | — | — |
| P/B | 883.8× | 992.7× | 1,535.0× | 1,072.5× | 1,324.3× |
| P/S | 1,118.9× | 1,428.8× | 2,445.4× | 1,777.2× | 2,651.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | 7,839.8× | 12,812.6× | 791,140.5× | 90,686.9× | 253,785.9× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lvmc Holdings | 13,486.2× | 546.6× | 666.5× | 3,798.0× | 0.0% |
| Samsung C&T | 18.8× | 0.5× | 1.2× | — | 0.9% |
| POSCO International | 10.5× | 1.2× | 0.3× | — | 3.8% |
| ISC | 45.4× | 6.1× | 12.7× | — | 0.5% |
| Youngone | 5.1× | 0.7× | 0.7× | — | 3.1% |
| Dong SUH Companies | 19.2× | 1.6× | 5.1× | — | 4.1% |
| Shinsegae | 13.9× | 0.4× | 0.3× | — | 2.1% |
| Similar companies (median) | 16.3× | 1.0× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Lvmc Holdings / 엘브이엠씨홀딩스 / 900140 / KRX:900140
Source: KRX statistical information