Rothwell International로스웰
900260 · KOSDAQ · ₩900260 · 로스웰
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
This is a holding company, but we don't have its stakes in listed companies yet, so we use a discounted cash flow for now.
Fair value per share
₩14
vs the current price (₩1,959)
- Enterprise value
- ₩531M
- Equity value
- ₩660M
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 99% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,959, the model needs an operating margin of 80.0% every year (it uses −0.1%).
- Margins ranged from −8.4% to 4.0% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 48% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩14
- −99.3%
- Bull
- ₩84
- −95.7%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−0.1%).
Revenue growth
- 25%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (104.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 19.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (104.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (104.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (104.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (104.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -0.1%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 0.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -8.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.06, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩4.9B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩129M
- Shares
- 46,029,706
- Share price
- ₩1,959
- Market cap
- ₩90B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩2B | ₩2.7B | ₩3.8B | ₩6.1B | ₩7.3B | ₩8.3B | ₩9B | ₩9.3B |
| Growth | 343.5% | 36.7% | 41.8% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩79M | ₩103M | ₩56M | −₩6.1M | −₩7.3M | −₩8.3M | −₩9M | −₩9.3M |
| EBIT margin | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | −0.1% | −0.1% | −0.1% | −0.1% | −0.1% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩57M | ₩75M | ₩41M | −₩4.4M | −₩5.3M | −₩6M | −₩6.5M | −₩6.7M |
| + Depreciation | ₩32M | ₩36M | ₩37M | ₩79M | ₩95M | ₩108M | ₩117M | ₩120M |
| − Capital spending | ₩22M | ₩9.2M | ₩6.6M | ₩30M | ₩36M | ₩41M | ₩45M | ₩46M |
| − Working capital | ₩16M | −₩614M | −₩148M | −₩108M | −₩106M | −₩91M | −₩63M | −₩24M |
| Free cash flow | ₩52M | ₩716M | ₩219M | ₩153M | ₩158M | ₩151M | ₩128M | ₩91M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩142M | ₩137M | ₩122M | ₩96M | ₩64M |
Terminal value −₩43M, worth −₩30M today: -6% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩32 a share)Now 62.1× | ₩72422.9× | ₩1,27540.4× | ₩2,05965.3× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩12 | ₩13 | ₩14 | ₩16 | ₩18 |
| 6.9% | ₩12 | ₩13 | ₩14 | ₩16 | ₩18 |
| 7.4% | ₩12 | ₩13 | ₩14 | ₩16 | ₩17 |
| 7.9% | ₩13 | ₩13 | ₩14 | ₩15 | ₩17 |
| 8.4% | ₩13 | ₩13 | ₩14 | ₩15 | ₩16 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩90B
- Enterprise value
- ₩90B
- P/E
- 612.6×
- P/B
- 62.1×
- P/S
- 18.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- 638.9×
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,572 | ₩577 | ₩760 | ₩1,220 | ₩1,735 |
| Market cap | ₩72B | ₩27B | ₩35B | ₩56B | ₩80B |
| P/E | 727.3× | 289.4× | 430.0× | — | — |
| P/B | 52.1× | 20.9× | 29.9× | 51.9× | 70.8× |
| P/S | 19.0× | 9.9× | 17.8× | 126.4× | 480.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | 759.0× | 180.4× | 309.0× | — | 14,441.6× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rothwell International | 612.6× | 62.1× | 18.5× | 638.9× | 0.0% |
| SK Square | 3.3× | 2.0× | 88.7× | 3.2× | 0.0% |
| KB Financial Group | 8.3× | 0.9× | — | 9.3× | 3.0% |
| Shinhan Financial Group | 7.5× | 0.7× | — | 10.0× | 3.0% |
| SK | 4.5× | 1.0× | 0.3× | — | 1.6% |
| Hana Financial Group | 7.5× | 0.7× | — | 9.8× | 3.6% |
| Woori Financial Group | 6.7× | 0.5× | — | 8.2× | 4.7% |
| Similar companies (median) | 7.1× | 0.8× | 44.5× | 9.3× | 3.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Rothwell International / 로스웰 / 900260 / KRX:900260
Source: KRX statistical information