Heng Sheng Holding Group

900270 · KOSDAQ · ₩900270 · 헝셩그룹

₩2,040▼ ₩80 (3.77%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

This is a holding company, but we don't have its stakes in listed companies yet, so we use a discounted cash flow for now.

Fair value per share

₩48

vs the current price (₩2,040)

Enterprise value
₩123M
Equity value
₩1.6B
WACC
9.5%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 98% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • No operating margin up to 90% gets the model to today's price at these growth assumptions.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩46
−97.7%
Base
₩48
−97.6%
Bull
₩51
−97.5%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (1.6%).

Revenue growth

  • -7.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -4.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -2.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 1.6%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 4.5%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 0.1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.99

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.98, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩555M
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩1.4B
+ Stakes and investments
₩15M
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
32,703,157
Share price
₩2,040
Market cap
₩67B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩597M₩619M₩550M₩516M₩492M₩482M₩484M₩499M
Growth−13.1%3.7%−11.1%−7.1%−4.6%−2.1%0.5%3.0%
EBIT−₩757,051₩39M−₩1.1M₩8.3M₩7.9M₩7.7M₩7.7M₩8M
EBIT margin−0.1%6.3%−0.2%1.6%1.6%1.6%1.6%1.6%
After-tax EBIT−₩548,862₩28M−₩782,468₩6M₩5.7M₩5.6M₩5.6M₩5.8M
+ Depreciation₩26M₩27M₩26M₩23M₩22M₩22M₩22M₩22M
− Capital spending₩1.3M₩14,863₩326,629₩515,859₩492,130₩481,795₩484,204₩498,730
− Working capital₩24M−₩1.7M−₩85M−₩16M−₩9.5M−₩4.1M₩963,590₩5.8M
Free cash flow−₩389,227₩57M₩111M₩44M₩37M₩31M₩26M₩22M
Discount factor———0.9140.8350.7630.6970.637
Present value———₩41M₩31M₩24M₩18M₩14M

Terminal value −₩6.1M, worth −₩3.9M today: -3% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩58 a share)Now 35.3×₩5,25290.9×₩13,506233.8×₩22,762393.9×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
8.5%₩49₩49₩48₩48₩48
9.0%₩49₩49₩48₩48₩48
9.5%₩49₩49₩48₩48₩48
10.0%₩49₩48₩48₩48₩48
10.5%₩49₩48₩48₩48₩48

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩67B
Enterprise value
₩65B
P/E
—
P/B
35.3×
P/S
120.1×
EV/EBITDA
2,183.5×
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩9,907₩13,860₩10,757₩21,815₩21,265
Market cap₩324B₩453B₩352B₩713B₩695B
P/E—36,674.9×——202,047.9×
P/B172.4×251.2×200.4×418.4×410.4×
P/S588.9×732.1×589.3×1,038.5×1,012.7×
EV/EBITDA12,827.6×6,872.6×14,061.3×14,910.2×14,514.3×
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Heng Sheng Holding Group—35.3×120.1×2,183.5×0.0%
SK Square3.6×2.2×96.1×3.5×0.0%
KB Financial Group8.8×0.9×—9.6×2.8%
Shinhan Financial Group7.8×0.7×—10.2×2.9%
SK4.5×1.0×0.3×—1.6%
Hana Financial Group8.0×0.7×—10.0×3.4%
Woori Financial Group7.1×0.6×—8.5×4.4%
Similar companies (median)7.5×0.8×48.2×9.6×2.8%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Heng Sheng Holding Group / 헝셩그룹 / 900270 / KRX:900270

Source: KRX statistical information