Organic TEA Cosmetics Holdings오가닉티코스메틱
900300 · KOSDAQ · ₩900300 · 오가닉티코스메틱
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
This is a holding company, but we don't have its stakes in listed companies yet, so we use a discounted cash flow for now.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩2.5B
- Equity value
- −₩1.6B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- No operating margin up to 90% gets the model to today's price at these growth assumptions.
- Margins ranged from −41.7% to 6.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).
Revenue growth
- -7.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -2.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -20%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 0%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -9.48, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩1.1B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩894M
- − Minority interests
- ₩594,311
- Shares
- 58,580,097
- Share price
- ₩2,350
- Market cap
- ₩138B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩965M | ₩871M | ₩927M | ₩1B | ₩963M | ₩941M | ₩944M | ₩972M |
| Growth | −18.0% | −9.8% | 6.4% | −7.7% | −5.0% | −2.3% | 0.3% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩402M | −₩340M | −₩311M | −₩203M | −₩193M | −₩188M | −₩189M | −₩194M |
| EBIT margin | −41.7% | −39.1% | −33.5% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩292M | −₩247M | −₩225M | −₩147M | −₩140M | −₩136M | −₩137M | −₩141M |
| + Depreciation | ₩5.6M | ₩0 | ₩12,389 | ₩2M | ₩1.9M | ₩1.9M | ₩1.9M | ₩1.9M |
| − Capital spending | — | — | ₩111,502 | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 |
| − Working capital | ₩238M | ₩17M | ₩22M | −₩34M | −₩20M | −₩8.9M | ₩1.1M | ₩11M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | −₩248M | −₩111M | −₩117M | −₩126M | −₩136M | −₩150M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩104M | −₩102M | −₩102M | −₩102M | −₩105M |
Terminal value −₩2.8B, worth −₩2B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩24 a share)Now 97.9× | ₩6,045251.7× | ₩43,0021790.7× | ₩146,9366118.7× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩138B
- Enterprise value
- ₩137B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 97.9×
- P/S
- 125.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩11,851 | ₩23,051 | ₩62,501 | ₩127,001 | ₩294,503 |
| Market cap | ₩694B | ₩1.4T | ₩3.7T | ₩7.4T | ₩17T |
| P/E | — | — | — | — | 386,860.1× |
| P/B | 532.7× | 1,012.6× | 2,562.9× | 3,772.1× | 8,017.8× |
| P/S | 749.1× | 1,550.8× | 3,792.4× | 6,320.2× | 11,316.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | 148,039.5× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Organic TEA Cosmetics Holdings | — | 97.9× | 125.3× | — | 0.0% |
| SK Square | 3.8× | 2.3× | 102.1× | 3.7× | 0.0% |
| KB Financial Group | 8.9× | 0.9× | — | 9.6× | 2.8% |
| Shinhan Financial Group | 7.7× | 0.7× | — | 10.1× | 2.9% |
| SK | 4.8× | 1.0× | 0.3× | — | 1.5% |
| Hana Financial Group | 7.9× | 0.7× | — | 10.0× | 3.4% |
| Woori Financial Group | 7.1× | 0.6× | — | 8.5× | 4.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 7.4× | 0.8× | 51.2× | 9.6× | 2.9% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Organic TEA Cosmetics Holdings / 오가닉티코스메틱 / 900300 / KRX:900300
Source: KRX statistical information