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“Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful.”
— Warren Buffett, The New York Times, 2008
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“Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful.”
— Warren Buffett, The New York Times, 2008
Long KIA / short Hyundai-Rotem, equal money, rebalanced daily (start = 100)
Monitored pairs only include stocks that trade at least ₩5B a day on average (last 20 days). Max size is 10% of the thinner leg’s average day, so the trade stays a small part of the market. Either side may need to be shorted (the reversal trade shorts whichever ran ahead), so we show shares on loan for both; under 0.1% usually means little stock to borrow.
A day, week or month goes to the stock that did better in it.
| KIA won | Now | Longest KIA | Longest Hyundai-Rotem | Usual streak | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Days | 53% | Hyundai-Rotem 1 | 10 | 5 | 3 |
| Weeks | 54% | Hyundai-Rotem 1 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
| Months | 54% | KIA 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Pair | KIA | Hyundai-Rotem | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1W | −3.4% | −10.6% | −7.5% |
| 1M | +17.8% | −17.6% | −31.9% |
| 3M | +19.2% |
Rule: when the gap passes ±2, short the stock that ran ahead and buy the other; close when the gap is back within ±0.5, after 60 trading days, or at ±4. After fees, the transaction tax and borrowing the short.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.1% | +31.7% | −8.9% | −35.9% | +46.0% | −8.3% | +16.1% | −4.5% | +4.7% | +20.3% | +43.8% | ||
| 2025 | −6.3% | +22.1% | −1.5% | +12.7% |
| −21.5% |
| −37.6% |
| 6M | +55.8% | −39.6% | −67.5% |
|---|
Past prices, a fixed rule and simple costs. Not a recommendation. Short selling in Korea has extra rules and costs and may not be available to you.
Source: KRX statistical information
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