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“Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful.”
— Warren Buffett, The New York Times, 2008
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“Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful.”
— Warren Buffett, The New York Times, 2008
Long Samsung Heavy Industries / short Hanwha Ocean, equal money, rebalanced daily (start = 100)
Monitored pairs only include stocks that trade at least ₩5B a day on average (last 20 days). Max size is 10% of the thinner leg’s average day, so the trade stays a small part of the market. Either side may need to be shorted (the reversal trade shorts whichever ran ahead), so we show shares on loan for both; under 0.1% usually means little stock to borrow.
Samsung Heavy Industries has run ahead of Hanwha Ocean. The gap is 2.3 standard deviations from its 60-day average, wider than 99% of the past year.
If the gap closes, Samsung Heavy Industries would lag Hanwha Ocean: the trade that bets on that is long Hanwha Ocean / short Samsung Heavy Industries.
Gaps between these two have closed by half in about 39 trading days.
A day, week or month goes to the stock that did better in it.
| Samsung Heavy Industries won | Now | Longest Samsung Heavy Industries | Longest Hanwha Ocean | Usual streak | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Days | 52% | Hanwha Ocean 1 | 8 | 4 | 2 |
| Weeks | 54% | Samsung Heavy Industries 4 | 4 |
Rule: when the gap passes ±2, short the stock that ran ahead and buy the other; close when the gap is back within ±0.5, after 60 trading days, or at ±4. After fees, the transaction tax and borrowing the short.
| Started | Ended | Shorted | Days | Outcome | After costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | — | Samsung Heavy Industries | 12 | Open | −12.43% |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Jul 31, 2026 | Samsung Heavy Industries | 14 | Gap closed | +9.15% |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Jul 7, 2026 | Hanwha Ocean | 1 |
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | −1.0% | −4.4% | −1.6% | +19.9% | −8.7% | −1.1% | +1.6% | −6.2% | +5.5% | +23.3% | +24.8% | ||
| 2025 | +6.5% | +5.5% | −8.6% | +2.8% |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| Months | 46% | Samsung Heavy Industries 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
|---|
| Pair | Samsung Heavy Industries | Hanwha Ocean | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1W | +2.8% | −9.2% | −11.7% |
| 1M | +22.7% | −21.8% | −36.9% |
| 3M | +19.3% | −30.6% | −43.1% |
| 6M | +16.5% | −50.6% | −62.6% |
| Gap closed |
| +16.91% |
| Apr 22, 2026 | May 26, 2026 | Samsung Heavy Industries | 21 | Gap closed | +2.33% |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Apr 16, 2026 | Samsung Heavy Industries | 4 | Gap closed | +5.90% |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Dec 23, 2025 | Samsung Heavy Industries | 18 | Gap closed | +11.54% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Nov 17, 2025 | Samsung Heavy Industries | 14 | Gap closed | +13.28% |
Past prices, a fixed rule and simple costs. Not a recommendation. Short selling in Korea has extra rules and costs and may not be available to you.
Source: KRX statistical information