ShortFaduLongthe top 20% basket
Date ahead: Oct 29, 2026
- Net edge
- −0.7%
- Costs
- 1.0%
- Days to fill
- <0.1
At ₩1억 a trade. Setup out-of-sample average −0.6%, hit rate 45.4%, 5331 trades.
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“Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful.”
— Warren Buffett, The New York Times, 2008
Profitable companies have tended to beat unprofitable ones.
Quality can be expensive already; one-off profits inflate return on equity.
Each month: the 400 largest ranked by return on equity (latest full year); top 20% long, bottom 20% short.
7400 signals → 5331 trades (177 left out by filters, 0 over the position limit, 144 still open, 0 too big to fill, 0 exited at delisting).
Short-selling bans: 1604 trades skipped, 0 used index futures instead.
Shaded: out-of-sample, from Apr 30, 2025.
| Year | Trades | Profitable | Avg net |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 781 | 42.1% | −1.7% |
| 2023 | 1085 | 42.9% | −1.0% |
| 2024 | 778 | 42.5% | −0.3% |
| 2025 | 1440 | 46.3% | −1.6% |
| 2026 | 1247 | 50.4% | +0.6% |
Each half-year is traded only if the previous two years were positive.
| From | Traded | Trades | Avg net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2023 | No | 394 | −0.7% |
| May 1, 2024 | No | 408 | −0.4% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | No | 465 | −0.1% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | No | 833 | −2.1% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | No | 814 | 0.0% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | No | 706 | +0.5% |
| Oct 28, 2026 | No | 0 | — |
Showing the latest 300.
Longthe top 20% basket·Shortthe bottom 20% basket
| All | In-sample | Out-of-sample | Walk-forward | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades | 5331 | 2978 | 2353 | 0 |
| Profitable | 45.4% | 42.7% | 48.9% | — |
| Avg net | −0.8% | −0.9% | −0.6% | — |
| Median | −1.5% | −2.1% | −0.5% | — |
| Worst trade | −134.0% | −134.0% | −97.7% | — |
| Worst drop (% of book) | −143.2% | −59.8% | −93.1% | 0.0% |
| Sharpe | -1.51 | -2.09 | -1.13 | — |
ShortFaduLongthe top 20% basket
Date ahead: Oct 29, 2026
At ₩1억 a trade. Setup out-of-sample average −0.6%, hit rate 45.4%, 5331 trades.
| Stock | Against | Entry | Exit | Gross | Costs | Net | Fill days | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFadu | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −34.5% | 1.0% | −35.5% | 1 | |
| SMezzion Pharma | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −0.4% | 1.9% | −2.3% | 1 | |
| SQurient | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −14.1% | 3.0% | −17.1% | 1 | |
| SSKC | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −17.6% | 1.0% | −18.6% | 1 | |
| SL&F | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +20.2% | 0.9% | +19.4% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +2.4% | 1.8% | +0.6% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −10.0% | 0.8% | −10.8% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −12.5% | 3.0% | −15.5% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +1.3% | 1.8% | −0.6% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −28.9% | 0.8% | −29.7% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +15.5% | 1.5% | +14.0% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 6, 2026 | −5.4% | 2.4% | −7.8% | 2 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −7.2% | 1.9% | −9.1% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −0.7% | 1.2% | −1.9% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −14.6% | 2.1% | −16.7% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +19.0% | 1.0% | +17.9% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −28.3% | 0.8% | −29.1% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +1.1% | 0.7% | +0.4% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +12.9% | 1.7% | +11.3% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −9.3% | 0.7% | −10.0% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +30.3% | 1.1% | +29.3% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +7.6% | 2.4% | +5.2% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +10.0% | 2.2% | +7.8% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +2.1% | 1.4% | +0.7% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +1.4% | 2.5% | −1.1% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +2.4% | 1.3% | +1.2% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +14.6% | 1.0% | +13.6% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −0.6% | 0.8% | −1.4% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +15.1% | 1.0% | +14.0% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −7.3% | 1.0% | −8.3% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +12.3% | 1.7% | +10.6% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −6.0% | 2.0% | −8.0% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −1.0% | 1.6% | −2.7% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −29.1% | 1.9% | −31.0% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −3.1% | 2.1% | −5.2% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +15.6% | 2.1% | +13.5% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −8.5% | 1.2% | −9.7% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −19.6% | 1.8% | −21.5% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +4.9% | 1.4% | +3.5% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −3.6% | 2.1% | −5.8% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +16.4% | 0.6% | +15.8% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −3.0% | 0.7% | −3.7% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +12.8% | 1.1% | +11.7% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +0.9% | 1.3% | −0.4% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +7.4% | 0.8% | +6.6% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +3.7% | 0.7% | +3.0% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −4.1% | 0.9% | −5.0% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +5.9% | 1.3% | +4.6% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −90.5% | 1.7% | −92.2% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +16.9% | 0.9% | +16.0% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +20.0% | 1.2% | +18.8% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −11.8% | 1.1% | −12.9% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +8.0% | 1.5% | +6.5% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +12.9% | 0.8% | +12.1% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +12.7% | 0.7% | +12.0% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +4.4% | 1.6% | +2.8% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +7.6% | 1.9% | +5.7% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −20.7% | 1.8% | −22.5% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +16.7% | 0.9% | +15.8% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −3.3% | 1.3% | −4.6% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −25.8% | 1.5% | −27.3% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +5.5% | 1.7% | +3.8% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −2.1% | 2.1% | −4.2% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +5.4% | 0.7% | +4.7% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +6.2% | 1.0% | +5.1% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −21.9% | 1.6% | −23.5% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −15.2% | 1.6% | −16.8% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +4.9% | 0.7% | +4.3% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +11.4% | 1.1% | +10.4% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −9.4% | 1.5% | −10.9% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −0.1% | 2.1% | −2.1% | 1 | |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +2.6% | 2.2% | +0.4% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +6.7% | 0.6% | +6.1% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +5.3% | 1.5% | +3.9% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +46.7% | 0.8% | +46.0% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −7.0% | 0.6% | −7.5% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +5.8% | 0.8% | +5.0% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −10.7% | 0.8% | −11.5% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −7.6% | 0.8% | −8.3% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −2.1% | 1.3% | −3.4% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −8.7% | 0.6% | −9.3% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +7.6% | 1.5% | +6.1% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −10.9% | 1.4% | −12.3% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +12.9% | 0.7% | +12.3% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −17.6% | 1.2% | −18.7% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +19.2% | 1.1% | +18.2% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −10.0% | 0.6% | −10.6% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −10.3% | 1.0% | −11.4% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +52.1% | 1.1% | +51.0% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +17.5% | 1.1% | +16.4% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −14.1% | 0.8% | −14.9% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −11.0% | 0.8% | −11.8% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | +24.3% | 1.1% | +23.2% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −17.2% | 1.4% | −18.6% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 6, 2026 | −15.3% | 1.6% | −17.0% | 2 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −6.6% | 1.1% | −7.7% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −13.0% | 0.9% | −13.9% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −5.5% | 0.7% | −6.2% | 1 | |
| L | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | −12.3% | 2.0% | −14.3% | 1 |
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