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“Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful.”
— Warren Buffett, The New York Times, 2008
New shares are sold, often at a discount; the price tends to drift toward the issue price.
Placements to strategic investors can be read as good news; offerings for growth can be welcomed.
A paid-in capital increase (유상증자) is filed → short vs the market for 20 trading days from the next day.
3667 signals → 525 trades (1758 left out by filters, 182 over the position limit, 19 still open, 0 too big to fill, 0 exited at delisting).
Short-selling bans: 1053 trades skipped, 0 used index futures instead.
Shaded: out-of-sample, from Apr 28, 2025.
| Year | Trades | Profitable | Avg net |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | 70.0% | +3.5% |
| 2022 | 104 | 48.1% | −0.5% |
| 2023 | 88 | 54.5% | −3.0% |
| 2025 | 161 | 70.2% | +5.7% |
| 2026 | 152 | 54.6% | +2.4% |
Each half-year is traded only if the previous two years were positive.
| From | Traded | Trades | Avg net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2023 | No | 1 | −9.3% |
| Apr 28, 2024 | No | 0 | — |
| Oct 27, 2024 | No | 20 | +2.0% |
| Apr 27, 2025 | No | 99 | +5.7% |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Yes | 111 | +2.0% |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Yes | 83 | +5.5% |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Yes | 0 | — |
Showing the latest 300.
Shortthe stock·LongKOSPI 200 futures
| All | In-sample | Out-of-sample | Walk-forward | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades | 525 | 232 | 293 | 194 |
| Profitable | 58.7% | 53.4% | 62.8% | 60.3% |
| Avg net | +2.0% | −0.9% | +4.2% | +3.5% |
| Median | +2.6% | +1.2% | +6.3% | +5.8% |
| Worst trade | −139.3% | −80.5% | −139.3% | −139.3% |
| Worst drop (% of book) | −10.8% | −7.7% | −10.8% | −539.0% |
| Sharpe | 0.91 | -0.52 | 2.21 | 1.64 |
ShortHYBELongKOSPI 200 futures
Signal Oct 27, 2026 · View filing ↗
At ₩1억 a trade. Setup out-of-sample average +4.2%, hit rate 58.7%, 525 trades.
| Stock | Against | Entry | Exit | Gross | Costs | Net | Fill days | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHyulim Robot | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 28, 2026 | Oct 28, 2026 | +1.9% | 1.2% | +0.7% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| SCellid | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 27, 2026 | +5.4% | 4.1% | +1.3% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| SCellid | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 27, 2026 | +5.4% | 4.1% | +1.3% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| SAribiolab | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 21, 2026 | −8.6% | 3.1% | −11.7% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 20, 2026 | +4.6% | 2.3% | +2.4% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 19, 2026 | −16.7% | 0.7% | −17.4% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 14, 2026 | −27.0% | 4.5% | −31.6% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 14, 2026 | −3.2% | 3.2% | −6.4% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 15, 2026 | −18.9% | 2.2% | −21.1% | 2 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 4, 2026 | Oct 7, 2026 | +6.4% | 3.8% | +2.6% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 3, 2026 | Oct 6, 2026 | −1.7% | 2.6% | −4.3% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 3, 2026 | Oct 6, 2026 | +8.8% | 1.6% | +7.2% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Sep 1, 2026 | Oct 1, 2026 | +10.1% | 0.9% | +9.2% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 1, 2026 | +55.8% | 4.1% | +51.7% | 2 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 30, 2026 | −16.4% | 2.4% | −18.8% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 30, 2026 | +7.8% | 0.8% | +7.1% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 30, 2026 | −16.0% | 3.0% | −19.0% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 30, 2026 | +8.1% | 0.6% | +7.5% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 30, 2026 | −41.7% | 1.5% | −43.2% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Aug 27, 2026 | Sep 28, 2026 | +2.4% | 1.2% | +1.2% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Aug 25, 2026 | Sep 22, 2026 | +10.7% | 0.9% | +9.8% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Aug 24, 2026 | Sep 21, 2026 | +1.6% | 1.3% | +0.2% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Aug 21, 2026 | Sep 18, 2026 | +5.1% | 8.1% | −3.0% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Aug 19, 2026 | Sep 16, 2026 | +9.9% | 0.9% | +9.0% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Aug 18, 2026 | Sep 15, 2026 | −0.8% | 5.9% | −6.7% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Aug 14, 2026 | Sep 14, 2026 | +10.4% | 2.4% | +7.9% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Aug 11, 2026 | Sep 9, 2026 | +32.2% | 1.9% | +30.3% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Aug 10, 2026 | Sep 8, 2026 | +21.2% | 6.8% | +14.5% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Aug 7, 2026 | Sep 8, 2026 | +20.8% | 5.4% | +15.3% | 2 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jul 31, 2026 | Aug 31, 2026 | −7.4% | 4.9% | −12.3% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jul 29, 2026 | Aug 28, 2026 | +19.5% | 4.8% | +14.8% | 2 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jul 29, 2026 | Aug 28, 2026 | +18.3% | 2.7% | +15.6% | 2 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jul 28, 2026 | Aug 26, 2026 | +12.2% | 0.7% | +11.5% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jul 27, 2026 | Aug 26, 2026 | +4.6% | 1.7% | +2.9% | 2 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jul 27, 2026 | Aug 25, 2026 | −9.9% | 3.0% | −12.9% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jul 24, 2026 | Aug 24, 2026 | +1.4% | 4.2% | −2.8% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jul 22, 2026 | Aug 20, 2026 | −24.4% | 0.9% | −25.3% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jul 20, 2026 | Aug 18, 2026 | −5.8% | 1.9% | −7.7% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jul 16, 2026 | Aug 14, 2026 | −17.5% | 3.8% | −21.3% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jul 14, 2026 | Aug 12, 2026 | −14.6% | 3.7% | −18.3% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jul 10, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 | −10.0% | 4.0% | −14.1% | 2 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jul 10, 2026 | Aug 10, 2026 | −40.2% | 2.1% | −42.3% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jul 10, 2026 | Aug 10, 2026 | −40.2% | 2.1% | −42.3% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jul 8, 2026 | Aug 6, 2026 | −19.0% | 2.2% | −21.1% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jul 7, 2026 | Aug 5, 2026 | −9.0% | 1.4% | −10.4% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jul 1, 2026 | Jul 30, 2026 | −6.2% | 0.8% | −7.0% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jun 29, 2026 | Jul 28, 2026 | −40.8% | 0.5% | −41.3% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jun 26, 2026 | Jul 28, 2026 | −21.9% | 3.0% | −24.9% | 2 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jun 25, 2026 | Jul 24, 2026 | −5.9% | 3.7% | −9.5% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jun 23, 2026 | Jul 22, 2026 | +13.6% | 3.8% | +9.8% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jun 23, 2026 | Jul 23, 2026 | −9.0% | 3.5% | −12.5% | 2 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jun 23, 2026 | Jul 22, 2026 | +6.4% | 2.9% | +3.5% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jun 22, 2026 | Jul 21, 2026 | −18.2% | 3.5% | −21.7% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jun 19, 2026 | Jul 20, 2026 | −5.4% | 4.2% | −9.6% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jun 19, 2026 | Jul 20, 2026 | −15.2% | 2.7% | −17.9% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jun 16, 2026 | Jul 14, 2026 | −15.7% | 2.0% | −17.7% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jun 16, 2026 | Jul 14, 2026 | −8.3% | 1.7% | −10.0% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jun 16, 2026 | Jul 14, 2026 | −8.3% | 1.7% | −10.0% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jun 11, 2026 | Jul 9, 2026 | +16.5% | 1.6% | +15.0% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jun 11, 2026 | Jul 9, 2026 | +20.5% | 4.0% | +16.6% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jun 9, 2026 | Jul 7, 2026 | −3.8% | 3.2% | −6.9% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jun 4, 2026 | Jul 2, 2026 | −3.3% | 0.9% | −4.1% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jun 4, 2026 | Jul 2, 2026 | −7.6% | 1.3% | −8.9% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jun 2, 2026 | Jul 1, 2026 | −5.4% | 0.8% | −6.2% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Jun 2, 2026 | Jul 1, 2026 | +28.2% | 2.8% | +25.5% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | May 29, 2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | +20.1% | 3.5% | +16.6% | 2 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | May 28, 2026 | Jun 26, 2026 | +24.1% | 2.7% | +21.4% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | May 27, 2026 | Jun 25, 2026 | +37.9% | 0.8% | +37.1% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | May 18, 2026 | Jun 17, 2026 | +20.0% | 2.2% | +17.8% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | May 15, 2026 | Jun 16, 2026 | +33.3% | 0.9% | +32.5% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | May 14, 2026 | Jun 15, 2026 | +33.6% | 1.4% | +32.2% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | May 13, 2026 | Jun 12, 2026 | +34.8% | 4.2% | +30.6% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | May 11, 2026 | Jun 10, 2026 | +37.5% | 0.9% | +36.6% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | May 4, 2026 | Jun 4, 2026 | +61.5% | 3.9% | +57.6% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | May 4, 2026 | Jun 4, 2026 | +62.9% | 1.6% | +61.4% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | May 4, 2026 | Jun 4, 2026 | +78.9% | 2.5% | +76.4% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Apr 30, 2026 | Jun 2, 2026 | +47.0% | 4.3% | +42.7% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Apr 29, 2026 | Jun 1, 2026 | +60.8% | 1.5% | +59.3% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Apr 29, 2026 | Jun 2, 2026 | +71.2% | 2.3% | +68.9% | 2 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Apr 28, 2026 | May 29, 2026 | +52.2% | 1.3% | +50.8% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Apr 28, 2026 | May 29, 2026 | +61.9% | 2.0% | +59.8% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Apr 27, 2026 | May 28, 2026 | +41.0% | 0.6% | +40.3% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Apr 27, 2026 | May 28, 2026 | +43.6% | 1.1% | +42.5% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Apr 24, 2026 | May 27, 2026 | +62.6% | 2.6% | +60.0% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Apr 24, 2026 | May 27, 2026 | +57.0% | 2.2% | +54.8% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Apr 23, 2026 | May 26, 2026 | +33.6% | 3.0% | +30.7% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Apr 23, 2026 | May 26, 2026 | −1.5% | 2.0% | −3.5% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Apr 20, 2026 | May 20, 2026 | +62.8% | 1.7% | +61.2% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Apr 14, 2026 | May 14, 2026 | +13.8% | 3.2% | +10.6% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Apr 14, 2026 | May 15, 2026 | +21.7% | 2.6% | +19.0% | 2 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Apr 13, 2026 | May 13, 2026 | +57.2% | 6.4% | +50.7% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Apr 9, 2026 | May 11, 2026 | −18.2% | 1.8% | −19.9% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Apr 8, 2026 | May 8, 2026 | +38.1% | 0.9% | +37.3% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Apr 2, 2026 | Apr 30, 2026 | +3.5% | 3.6% | −0.1% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Apr 2, 2026 | Apr 30, 2026 | +31.1% | 0.8% | +30.3% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Apr 2, 2026 | Apr 30, 2026 | +47.5% | 2.4% | +45.1% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Apr 1, 2026 | Apr 29, 2026 | −7.4% | 2.6% | −10.0% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Mar 31, 2026 | Apr 28, 2026 | +51.5% | 0.8% | +50.8% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Mar 31, 2026 | Apr 28, 2026 | +16.3% | 4.5% | +11.8% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| S | KOSPI 200 futures | Mar 30, 2026 | Apr 27, 2026 | −38.3% | 2.2% | −40.5% | 1 | Filing ↗ |
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