JONBUR Research · Update note
You're reading an earlier report from Oct 21, 2026. See the latest report
Shinhan Alpha REIT · 293940 · Real estate
Shinhan Alpha REIT: Model Fair Value Estimate Cut to ₩1,412 per Share from ₩5,854
Why this report
Written after:
- Model fair value changeModel estimate of fair value moved -76% (₩5,854 → ₩1,412 per share)Oct 22, 2026
Our model estimate of fair value for Shinhan Alpha REIT fell 76% to a base of ₩1,412 per share from ₩5,854. The share price of ₩5,600 now sits well above this base estimate, but no new filing explains the change and the underlying business data is little changed.
Written Oct 21, 2026 · Data as of Oct 20, 2026 · 0 views
This is not financial advice. The report does not recommend buying or selling anything.
What happened
On 2026-10-22 the model estimate of fair value moved from ₩5,854 to ₩1,412 per share, a fall of 76%. No company filings or news accompany this event, and no smaller recent events are listed as background. The model is still a 5-year discounted cash flow at a 5.3% rate, based on trailing figures to H1 2026, so the discount rate and the reporting period are the same as before. The bear case moved from ₩143 to ₩0, and the bull case from ₩17,182 to ₩10,452. The data does not say which input changed. The financial data we hold for the trailing period is the same as in the previous report: revenue of ₩86.5B, operating income of ₩49.0B, net income of ₩7.1B and borrowings of ₩1.36T.
Every earlier JONBUR Research report and update note on Shinhan Alpha REIT, with Pro.
Unlock with ProModel estimate of fair value
- Bear
- ₩0
- -100%
- Base
- ₩1,412
- -75%
- Bull
- ₩10,452
- +82%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Base case of the 5-year discounted cash flow model on the stock's Valuation tab (statements TTM to H1 2026; discount rate 5.3%). Bear and Bull move the main assumptions by fixed steps. See and change the assumptions
Filings and data used
- Insider shareholding reportOct 15, 2026
- Investor relations (IR) eventOct 13, 2026
- Other management mattersOct 12, 2026
- Insider shareholding reportOct 8, 2026
- Insider shareholding reportOct 1, 2026
- Insider shareholding reportSep 23, 2026
- [Amended Filing] Real Estate Investment Company Borrowing of FundsSep 18, 2026
- Real Estate Investment Company Borrowing of FundsSep 18, 2026
- Insider shareholding reportSep 16, 2026
- Determination of Shareholder Register Closure Period or Record DateSep 14, 2026
- Other management mattersSep 10, 2026
- Insider shareholding reportSep 9, 2026
- Daily prices up to 2026-10-20
- Financial statements, trailing 12 months as of H1 2026
- Our fair value model, statements as of TTM to H1 2026
Report history
- Oct 28, 2026Update noteEarnings · Model fair value changeShinhan Alpha REIT: Net Profit Falls 36.6% in Fiscal Year to September; Model Estimate Rises to ₩1,514
- Oct 21, 2026Update noteModel fair value changeShinhan Alpha REIT: Model Fair Value Estimate Cut to ₩1,412 per Share from ₩5,854
- Oct 19, 2026InitiationStart of coverage (reader request)Shinhan Alpha REIT: Steady Rental Scale, Thin Net Profit and a Model Estimate Near the Share Price
Source: KRX statistical information