Amorepacific Holdings아모레퍼시픽홀딩스
002790 · KOSPI · ₩002790 · 아모레퍼시픽홀딩스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩22,406
vs the current price (₩25,400)
- Enterprise value
- ₩4T
- Equity value
- ₩2T
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩22,406
- −11.8%
- Bull
- ₩61,502
- +142.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.6%).
Revenue growth
- 0.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 6.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.9%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 3.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 5.4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 104 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.07, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩4.8T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩1.6T
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩226B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩3.8T
- Shares
- 89,931,552
- incl. 13,473,372 preferred
- Share price
- ₩25,400
- Market cap
- ₩2.2T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩4T | ₩4.3T | ₩4.6T | ₩4.9T | ₩5T | ₩5.1T | ₩5.2T | ₩5.3T |
| Growth | −10.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩152B | ₩249B | ₩368B | ₩322B | ₩327B | ₩334B | ₩342B | ₩352B |
| EBIT margin | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩110B | ₩181B | ₩267B | ₩234B | ₩237B | ₩242B | ₩248B | ₩255B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩142B | ₩144B | ₩147B | ₩150B | ₩155B |
| − Capital spending | ₩232B | ₩117B | ₩107B | ₩176B | ₩178B | ₩182B | ₩187B | ₩192B |
| − Working capital | −₩951B | −₩33B | −₩133B | ₩2.4B | ₩4B | ₩5.4B | ₩6.8B | ₩8.4B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩197B | ₩199B | ₩201B | ₩205B | ₩210B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩184B | ₩172B | ₩163B | ₩155B | ₩147B |
Terminal value ₩4.5T, worth ₩3.2T today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩39,241 a share)Now 0.65× | ₩23,7010.60× | ₩29,4930.75× | ₩43,2731.10× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,538 a share)Now 16.5× | ₩12,0707.85× | ₩35,48623.1× | ₩85,54355.6× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,858 a share)Now 13.7× | ₩14,5847.85× | ₩42,87723.1× | ₩103,36055.6× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩24,430 | ₩28,225 | ₩32,898 | ₩38,794 | ₩46,470 |
| 6.8% | ₩20,340 | ₩23,405 | ₩27,105 | ₩31,661 | ₩37,410 |
| 7.3% | ₩16,901 | ₩19,417 | ₩22,406 | ₩26,013 | ₩30,456 |
| 7.8% | ₩13,969 | ₩16,064 | ₩18,518 | ₩21,432 | ₩24,950 |
| 8.3% | ₩11,441 | ₩13,205 | ₩15,249 | ₩17,641 | ₩20,483 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩1.9T
- Enterprise value
- ₩209B
- P/E
- 14.0×
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 0.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.6%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩26,850 | ₩20,800 | ₩29,250 | ₩34,900 | ₩44,350 |
| Market cap | ₩2.1T | ₩1.6T | ₩2.2T | ₩2.7T | ₩3.4T |
| P/E | 16.6× | 6.3× | 18.7× | 42.9× | 18.8× |
| P/B | 0.6× | 0.5× | 0.7× | 0.8× | 1.0× |
| P/S | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.6× | 0.6× | 0.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.5% | 1.6% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amorepacific Holdings | 14.0× | 0.6× | 0.4× | — | 1.6% |
| APR | 22.6× | 15.1× | 4.3× | 22.2× | 2.0% |
| Amorepacific | 26.4× | 1.4× | 1.7× | — | 1.0% |
| LG H&H | — | 0.7× | 0.6× | 6.9× | 0.8% |
| Cosmax | 15.2× | 4.3× | 1.1× | 13.2× | 1.3% |
| Kolmar Korea | 14.4× | 2.7× | 0.9× | — | 0.8% |
| d'Alba Global | 16.6× | 7.2× | 2.8× | — | 1.8% |
| Similar companies (median) | 16.6× | 3.5× | 1.4× | 13.2× | 1.1% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Amorepacific Holdings / 아모레퍼시픽홀딩스 / 002790 / KRX:002790
Source: KRX statistical information