Amorepacific Holdings

002790 · KOSPI · ₩002790 · 아모레퍼시픽홀딩스

₩25,400▲ ₩1,750 (7.40%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩22,406

vs the current price (₩25,400)

Enterprise value
₩4T
Equity value
₩2T
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩22,406
−11.8%
Bull
₩61,502
+142.1%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.6%).

Revenue growth

  • 0.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 6.6%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.9%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 3.6%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 5.4%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 104 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.07, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩4.8T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩1.6T
+ Stakes and investments
₩226B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩3.8T
Shares
89,931,552
incl. 13,473,372 preferred
Share price
₩25,400
Market cap
₩2.2T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩4T₩4.3T₩4.6T₩4.9T₩5T₩5.1T₩5.2T₩5.3T
Growth−10.5%5.9%8.5%0.9%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
EBIT₩152B₩249B₩368B₩322B₩327B₩334B₩342B₩352B
EBIT margin3.8%5.9%8.0%6.6%6.6%6.6%6.6%6.6%
After-tax EBIT₩110B₩181B₩267B₩234B₩237B₩242B₩248B₩255B
+ Depreciation———₩142B₩144B₩147B₩150B₩155B
− Capital spending₩232B₩117B₩107B₩176B₩178B₩182B₩187B₩192B
− Working capital−₩951B−₩33B−₩133B₩2.4B₩4B₩5.4B₩6.8B₩8.4B
Free cash flow———₩197B₩199B₩201B₩205B₩210B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7540.703
Present value———₩184B₩172B₩163B₩155B₩147B

Terminal value ₩4.5T, worth ₩3.2T today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩39,241 a share)Now 0.65×₩23,7010.60×₩29,4930.75×₩43,2731.10×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,538 a share)Now 16.5×₩12,0707.85×₩35,48623.1×₩85,54355.6×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,858 a share)Now 13.7×₩14,5847.85×₩42,87723.1×₩103,36055.6×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩24,430₩28,225₩32,898₩38,794₩46,470
6.8%₩20,340₩23,405₩27,105₩31,661₩37,410
7.3%₩16,901₩19,417₩22,406₩26,013₩30,456
7.8%₩13,969₩16,064₩18,518₩21,432₩24,950
8.3%₩11,441₩13,205₩15,249₩17,641₩20,483

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩1.9T
Enterprise value
₩209B
P/E
14.0×
P/B
0.6×
P/S
0.4×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
1.6%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩26,850₩20,800₩29,250₩34,900₩44,350
Market cap₩2.1T₩1.6T₩2.2T₩2.7T₩3.4T
P/E16.6×6.3×18.7×42.9×18.8×
P/B0.6×0.5×0.7×0.8×1.0×
P/S0.4×0.4×0.6×0.6×0.6×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield1.5%1.6%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Amorepacific Holdings14.0×0.6×0.4×—1.6%
APR22.6×15.1×4.3×22.2×2.0%
Amorepacific26.4×1.4×1.7×—1.0%
LG H&H—0.7×0.6×6.9×0.8%
Cosmax15.2×4.3×1.1×13.2×1.3%
Kolmar Korea14.4×2.7×0.9×—0.8%
d'Alba Global16.6×7.2×2.8×—1.8%
Similar companies (median)16.6×3.5×1.4×13.2×1.1%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Amorepacific Holdings / 아모레퍼시픽홀딩스 / 002790 / KRX:002790

Source: KRX statistical information