Hankook Cosmetics Manufacturing

003350 · KOSPI · ₩003350 · 한국화장품제조

₩15,010▼ ₩290 (1.90%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩21,130

vs the current price (₩15,010)

Enterprise value
₩470B
Equity value
₩479B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 41% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩15,010, the model needs an operating margin of 8.5% every year (it uses 11.5%).
  • Or revenue growth −9.2 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Margins ranged from −1.1% to 17.8% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • Today's P/E is 11.4× against a typical 17.6× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩12,869
−14.3%
Base
₩21,130
+40.8%
Bull
₩34,976
+133.0%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (11.5%).

Revenue growth

  • 21.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (21.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 16.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (21.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 12.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (21.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 7.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (21.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (21.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 11.5%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 1.3%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 20.3%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.23, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩216B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩1.5B
+ Stakes and investments
₩6.9B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
22,660,000
Share price
₩15,010
Market cap
₩340B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩109B₩167B₩185B₩262B₩305B₩342B₩368B₩379B
Growth5.3%53.2%10.2%21.1%16.6%12.1%7.5%3.0%
EBIT₩9B₩27B₩33B₩30B₩35B₩39B₩42B₩44B
EBIT margin8.3%15.9%17.8%11.5%11.5%11.5%11.5%11.5%
After-tax EBIT₩6.5B₩19B₩24B₩22B₩25B₩29B₩31B₩32B
+ Depreciation———₩2.6B₩3.1B₩3.4B₩3.7B₩3.8B
− Capital spending₩633M₩3.5B₩2.3B₩3.4B₩4B₩4.5B₩4.8B₩4.9B
− Working capital−₩4.2B₩3.4B₩62B₩9.3B₩8.8B₩7.5B₩5.2B₩2.2B
Free cash flow———₩12B₩16B₩20B₩24B₩28B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8070.7510.700
Present value———₩11B₩14B₩16B₩18B₩20B

Terminal value ₩560B, worth ₩392B today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩5,380 a share)Now 2.79×₩10,6431.98×₩14,9432.78×₩19,8163.68×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,312 a share)Now 11.4×₩10,9718.36×₩23,13817.6×₩60,14545.8×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩584 a share)Now 25.7×₩4,8848.36×₩10,30117.6×₩26,77745.8×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩22,354₩24,071₩26,175₩28,815₩32,225
6.9%₩20,352₩21,734₩23,394₩25,429₩27,982
7.4%₩18,664₩19,794₩21,130₩22,736₩24,704
7.9%₩17,224₩18,160₩19,252₩20,544₩22,097
8.4%₩15,980₩16,764₩17,669₩18,725₩19,974

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩340B
Enterprise value
₩339B
P/E
11.4×
P/B
2.8×
P/S
1.6×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.4%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩9,780₩10,340₩4,680₩5,710₩5,160
Market cap₩222B₩234B₩106B₩129B₩117B
P/E8.1×10.1×14.6×32.1×—
P/B2.1×3.2×2.0×2.7×2.7×
P/S1.2×1.4×1.0×1.2×1.7×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.6%0.4%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Hankook Cosmetics Manufacturing11.4×2.8×1.6×—0.4%
APR25.0×16.7×4.7×24.7×1.8%
Amorepacific25.5×1.3×1.6×—1.0%
LG H&H—0.7×0.6×6.9×0.8%
Cosmax16.0×4.6×1.1×13.7×1.3%
Kolmar Korea15.0×2.8×0.9×—0.7%
d'Alba Global17.0×7.3×2.9×—1.8%
Similar companies (median)17.0×3.7×1.4×13.7×1.1%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Hankook Cosmetics Manufacturing / 한국화장품제조 / 003350 / KRX:003350

Source: KRX statistical information