Sebang

004360 · KOSPI · ₩004360 · 세방

₩12,890▲ ₩90 (0.70%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩12,177

vs the current price (₩12,890)

Enterprise value
₩268B
Equity value
₩278B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩12,177
−5.5%
Bull
₩35,824
+177.9%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.3%).

Revenue growth

  • -1.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2.3%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.5%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 3.1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 4.8%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.24, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩1.2T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩9.7B
Shares
22,804,853
incl. 3,689,250 preferred
Share price
₩12,890
Market cap
₩278B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩1.1T₩1.4T₩1.2T₩1.2T₩1.2T₩1.2T₩1.2T₩1.2T
Growth−11.5%20.3%−9.6%−1.3%−0.2%0.9%1.9%3.0%
EBIT₩29B₩24B₩27B₩27B₩27B₩27B₩28B₩29B
EBIT margin2.5%1.8%2.2%2.3%2.3%2.3%2.3%2.3%
After-tax EBIT₩21B₩18B₩20B₩20B₩20B₩20B₩20B₩21B
+ Depreciation———₩30B₩29B₩30B₩30B₩31B
− Capital spending₩32B₩32B₩51B₩37B₩37B₩37B₩38B₩39B
− Working capital₩19B−₩51B−₩21B−₩747M−₩113M₩509M₩1.1B₩1.7B
Free cash flow———₩13B₩13B₩12B₩12B₩12B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8070.7510.700
Present value———₩12B₩11B₩9.8B₩8.9B₩8.1B

Terminal value ₩311B, worth ₩218B today: 81% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩54,800 a share)Now 0.24×₩12,8900.24×₩14,9220.27×₩21,9700.40×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩2,723 a share)Now 4.73×₩7,3132.69×₩11,4674.21×₩16,6796.13×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩3,932 a share)Now 3.28×₩10,5612.69×₩16,5604.21×₩24,0886.13×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩12,954₩13,856₩14,961₩16,347₩18,136
6.9%₩11,838₩12,560₩13,426₩14,488₩15,818
7.4%₩10,898₩11,484₩12,177₩13,009₩14,028
7.9%₩10,095₩10,578₩11,140₩11,805₩12,603
8.4%₩9,402₩9,804₩10,267₩10,806₩11,444

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩246B
Enterprise value
₩203B
P/E
4.0×
P/B
0.2×
P/S
0.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
2.3%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩14,420₩11,160₩12,230₩29,800₩11,950
Market cap₩276B₩213B₩234B₩570B₩228B
P/E4.2×2.5×3.4×5.4×4.4×
P/B0.2×0.2×0.2×0.6×0.3×
P/S0.2×0.2×0.2×0.4×0.2×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield2.1%2.7%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Sebang4.0×0.2×0.2×—2.3%
HMM14.6×0.7×1.8×—3.2%
Hyundai Glovis9.1×1.3×0.4×—3.1%
Pan Ocean9.0×0.5×0.5×—2.6%
CJ Logistics6.6×0.4×0.1×—1.2%
Korea Line3.4×0.2×0.5×—0.0%
Heung-A Shipping17.4×1.5×2.3×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)9.1×0.6×0.5×—1.9%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Sebang / 세방 / 004360 / KRX:004360

Source: KRX statistical information