Hanil Feed

005860 · KOSDAQ · ₩005860 · 한일사료

₩2,145▼ ₩15 (0.69%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩1,443

vs the current price (₩2,145)

Enterprise value
−₩7.5B
Equity value
₩57B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩1,443
−32.7%
Bull
₩6,296
+193.5%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (0.9%).

Revenue growth

  • 3.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 0.9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 3%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.

  • 4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.

  • 12%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.22, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩484B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩26B
+ Stakes and investments
₩39B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩786M
Shares
39,403,685
Share price
₩2,145
Market cap
₩85B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩397B₩431B₩455B₩502B₩519B₩536B₩554B₩570B
Growth−2.8%8.6%5.5%3.7%3.5%3.3%3.2%3.0%
EBIT₩1.8B₩3.7B₩5.9B₩4.5B₩4.7B₩4.8B₩5B₩5.1B
EBIT margin0.4%0.9%1.3%0.9%0.9%0.9%0.9%0.9%
After-tax EBIT₩1.3B₩2.7B₩4.2B₩3.3B₩3.4B₩3.5B₩3.6B₩3.7B
+ Depreciation———₩15B₩16B₩16B₩17B₩17B
− Capital spending———₩20B₩21B₩21B₩22B₩23B
− Working capital−₩17B−₩16B−₩9.1B₩2.1B₩2.1B₩2.1B₩2.1B₩2B
Free cash flow———−₩3.9B−₩3.9B−₩3.9B−₩4B−₩4B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8070.7510.700
Present value———−₩3.6B−₩3.4B−₩3.2B−₩3B−₩2.8B

Terminal value ₩12B, worth ₩8.5B today: -113% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩4,125 a share)Now 0.52×₩3,0890.75×₩4,5611.11×₩17,0574.14×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩139 a share)Now 15.4×₩2131.53×₩2,95821.3×₩5,63140.6×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩1,678₩1,595₩1,493₩1,363₩1,193
6.9%₩1,634₩1,558₩1,465₩1,349₩1,202
7.4%₩1,599₩1,528₩1,443₩1,339₩1,210
7.9%₩1,570₩1,504₩1,425₩1,332₩1,218
8.4%₩1,545₩1,484₩1,412₩1,327₩1,225

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩85B
Enterprise value
₩57B
P/E
15.4×
P/B
0.5×
P/S
0.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
3.5%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩3,070₩3,600₩4,395₩4,210₩1,940
Market cap₩121B₩142B₩173B₩166B₩76B
P/E19.0×38.5×1.5×—10.6×
P/B0.7×0.9×1.1×3.1×1.1×
P/S0.3×0.3×0.4×0.4×0.2×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield2.4%1.4%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Hanil Feed15.4×0.5×0.2×—3.5%
Samyang Foods17.5×5.6×3.1×—0.4%
Orion10.5×1.1×1.2×5.3×3.1%
CJ Cheiljedang—0.3×0.1×—3.6%
Nongshim12.1×0.8×0.7×—1.5%
Otoki16.9×0.6×0.3×—2.9%
Hite Jinro23.3×1.0×0.4×6.4×4.5%
Similar companies (median)16.9×0.9×0.6×5.8×3.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Hanil Feed / 한일사료 / 005860 / KRX:005860

Source: KRX statistical information