Hanil Feed한일사료
005860 · KOSDAQ · ₩005860 · 한일사료
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩1,443
vs the current price (₩2,145)
- Enterprise value
- −₩7.5B
- Equity value
- ₩57B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩1,443
- −32.7%
- Bull
- ₩6,296
- +193.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (0.9%).
Revenue growth
- 3.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 0.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 12%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.22, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩484B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩26B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩39B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩786M
- Shares
- 39,403,685
- Share price
- ₩2,145
- Market cap
- ₩85B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩397B | ₩431B | ₩455B | ₩502B | ₩519B | ₩536B | ₩554B | ₩570B |
| Growth | −2.8% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩1.8B | ₩3.7B | ₩5.9B | ₩4.5B | ₩4.7B | ₩4.8B | ₩5B | ₩5.1B |
| EBIT margin | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩1.3B | ₩2.7B | ₩4.2B | ₩3.3B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.7B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩15B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩17B |
| − Capital spending | — | — | — | ₩20B | ₩21B | ₩21B | ₩22B | ₩23B |
| − Working capital | −₩17B | −₩16B | −₩9.1B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.1B | ₩2B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩3.9B | −₩3.9B | −₩3.9B | −₩4B | −₩4B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩3.6B | −₩3.4B | −₩3.2B | −₩3B | −₩2.8B |
Terminal value ₩12B, worth ₩8.5B today: -113% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩4,125 a share)Now 0.52× | ₩3,0890.75× | ₩4,5611.11× | ₩17,0574.14× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩139 a share)Now 15.4× | ₩2131.53× | ₩2,95821.3× | ₩5,63140.6× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩1,678 | ₩1,595 | ₩1,493 | ₩1,363 | ₩1,193 |
| 6.9% | ₩1,634 | ₩1,558 | ₩1,465 | ₩1,349 | ₩1,202 |
| 7.4% | ₩1,599 | ₩1,528 | ₩1,443 | ₩1,339 | ₩1,210 |
| 7.9% | ₩1,570 | ₩1,504 | ₩1,425 | ₩1,332 | ₩1,218 |
| 8.4% | ₩1,545 | ₩1,484 | ₩1,412 | ₩1,327 | ₩1,225 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩85B
- Enterprise value
- ₩57B
- P/E
- 15.4×
- P/B
- 0.5×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 3.5%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,070 | ₩3,600 | ₩4,395 | ₩4,210 | ₩1,940 |
| Market cap | ₩121B | ₩142B | ₩173B | ₩166B | ₩76B |
| P/E | 19.0× | 38.5× | 1.5× | — | 10.6× |
| P/B | 0.7× | 0.9× | 1.1× | 3.1× | 1.1× |
| P/S | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.4% | 1.4% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanil Feed | 15.4× | 0.5× | 0.2× | — | 3.5% |
| Samyang Foods | 17.5× | 5.6× | 3.1× | — | 0.4% |
| Orion | 10.5× | 1.1× | 1.2× | 5.3× | 3.1% |
| CJ Cheiljedang | — | 0.3× | 0.1× | — | 3.6% |
| Nongshim | 12.1× | 0.8× | 0.7× | — | 1.5% |
| Otoki | 16.9× | 0.6× | 0.3× | — | 2.9% |
| Hite Jinro | 23.3× | 1.0× | 0.4× | 6.4× | 4.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 16.9× | 0.9× | 0.6× | 5.8× | 3.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Hanil Feed / 한일사료 / 005860 / KRX:005860
Source: KRX statistical information