Sono Square

007720 · KOSDAQ · ₩007720 · 소노스퀘어

₩1,009▼ ₩1 (0.10%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩79B
Equity value
−₩77B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩1,009, the model needs an operating margin of 1.6% every year (it uses −3.1%).
  • Margins ranged from −13.9% to 0.9% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−3.1%).

Revenue growth

  • -1.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -3.1%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 0%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 32.6%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -1.32, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩160B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩2.4B
Shares
20,160,090
Share price
₩1,009
Market cap
₩20B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩160B₩133B₩163B₩158B₩157B₩158B₩161B₩166B
Growth−6.4%−16.6%22.0%−1.6%−0.5%0.7%1.8%3.0%
EBIT−₩1.6B₩656M₩1.4B−₩4.9B−₩4.9B−₩4.9B−₩5B−₩5.1B
EBIT margin−1.0%0.5%0.9%−3.1%−3.1%−3.1%−3.1%−3.1%
After-tax EBIT−₩1.2B₩476M₩1B−₩3.5B−₩3.5B−₩3.6B−₩3.6B−₩3.7B
+ Depreciation———₩0₩0₩0₩0₩0
− Capital spending——₩8.3M₩0₩0₩0₩0₩0
− Working capital₩4.9B−₩60B−₩12B−₩837M−₩257M₩358M₩928M₩1.6B
Free cash flow———−₩2.7B−₩3.3B−₩3.9B−₩4.5B−₩5.3B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8070.7510.700
Present value———−₩2.5B−₩2.8B−₩3.2B−₩3.4B−₩3.7B

Terminal value −₩91B, worth −₩63B today: 80% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩2,479 a share)Now 0.41×₩1,1340.46×₩1,6040.65×₩2,4250.98×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%—————
6.9%—————
7.4%—————
7.9%—————
8.4%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩20B
Enterprise value
₩14B
P/E
—
P/B
0.4×
P/S
0.1×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩3,438₩4,608₩3,189₩4,007₩6,616
Market cap₩69B₩93B₩64B₩81B₩133B
P/E—————
P/B0.9×0.9×0.6×0.7×1.0×
P/S0.4×0.7×0.4×0.5×0.9×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Sono Square—0.4×0.1×—0.0%
Samsung C&T17.5×0.5×1.1×—0.9%
POSCO International10.6×1.3×0.3×—3.7%
ISC41.4×5.5×11.5×—0.6%
Youngone5.1×0.7×0.7×—3.1%
Dong SUH Companies19.0×1.6×5.1×—4.1%
Shinsegae13.7×0.4×0.3×—2.1%
Similar companies (median)15.6×1.0×0.9×—2.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Sono Square / 소노스퀘어 / 007720 / KRX:007720

Source: KRX statistical information